Investigation examines alleged ties between Lula’s son and fraud scheme

President Lula’s son is indirectly cited in a phase of a federal investigation

 

 

 

 

01/09/2026 

Brazil’s Federal Police, an agency similar to the FBI, is investigating allegations that Fábio Luís Lula da Silva, the son of President Lula, may have acted as a “hidden partner” of businessman Antônio Carlos Camilo Antunes, known as the “Bald of the INSS.” The information was first reported by O Estado de S. Paulo and confirmed by Valor.

The name of the president’s son was indirectly cited in December during one phase of Operation No Deduction, which is investigating an alleged fraud scheme involving unauthorized discounts applied to benefits paid to retirees and pensioners by the National Institute of Social Security (INSS).

The Federal Police informed Justice André Mendonça of the Federal Supreme Court that it is examining the alleged involvement of Lula’s son. One reference to him appears in testimony given to the Federal Police by businessman Edson Claro, who is linked to Antunes.

Fábio Luís Lula da Silva has not hired legal counsel specifically for the case, as he is not formally under investigation. Marco Aurélio de Carvalho, a lawyer who represents him in other matters, denies any wrongdoing and said he learned of the citation through the press, which he described as “serious.”

“There was no prior communication. I found out through the press, which is very serious,” Carvalho said. “It suggests that methods used during Operation Car Wash are being repeated. He is not accused and has no direct or indirect connection to the facts.”

“He has neither hired nor intends to hire a lawyer for this case. He denies any link to the “Bald of the INSS” and remains completely calm,” Carvalho added. “He was also not surprised by the attempt to implicate him. This is yet another effort to wear him and his family down. What is truly serious is the leak of information from a confidential investigation. We will request that the managing director of the Federal Police investigate these leaks.”

In December, after his son’s name surfaced, President Lula said that any involvement in the alleged INSS fraud scheme would be thoroughly investigated.

“If my son is involved in INSS fraud, he will be investigated. If Fernando Haddad is involved in INSS fraud, he will be investigated,” the president said at the time. “As far as the presidency is concerned, everything will be done to show Brazil that INSS fraud will be dealt with seriously.”

*By Tiago Angelo and Isadora Peron — Brasília

Source: Valor International

https://valorinternational.globo.com/

/by

New US guidelines favor shipments from Brazil

American government announced a policy to encourage the consumption of animal proteins, to the detriment of ultra-processed foods

 

 

 

01/09/2026 

The United States government announced on Wednesday (January 7) a set of new dietary guidelines for American citizens, valid until 2030, that encourage the consumption of “real food.” The idea, according to the government, is to increase consumption of proteins and whole foods, at the expense of ultra-processed foods, which could benefit sales of Brazilian beef to the US.

Brazil is the main supplier of beef to the American market, which is experiencing a strong decline in cattle supply. This situation, coupled with the announcement of the new dietary guidelines, could open up more space for giants like JBS and MBRF, owner of the American company National Beef.

“American households must prioritize diets built on whole, nutrient-dense foods—protein, dairy, vegetables, fruits, healthy fats, and whole grains—and drastically reduce their consumption of ultra-processed foods,” said US Health Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. in a statement about the new guidelines. “Our government declares war on added sugar,” he said. The recommendation is that animal protein should be consumed at every meal.

Valor has learned that the initial assessment of Brazilian meatpackers is that the measure will, in fact, stimulate meat consumption in the US. This should boost Brazilian exports, which were already at a record high in 2025.

Lygia Pimentel, director of the consulting firm Agrifatto, noted that it is not yet possible to determine the guidelines’ effective impact on Brazilian exporters, but she added, “it is certainly positive marketing to reinforce meat consumption.”

“The US has been at its lowest [beef] production-to-consumption ratio in the domestic market since 2005, so they need to continue sourcing [meat] from abroad. And Brazil comes in as an important partner,” she said.

For Gustavo Cruz, chief strategist at RB Investimentos, the new guidelines helped boost JBS NV’s shares on the New York Stock Exchange. The company’s shares closed up 1.25% on Thursday.

“The tendency is for Americans to prioritize protein,” said Cruz. He believes another factor that has helped increase demand—and, consequently, sales for companies in the animal protein segment—is the popularization of diets and weight-loss drugs.

According to the US Department of Health, the country is facing a crisis that justifies efforts to promote whole foods. Almost 90% of the country’s health spending is allocated to treating chronic diseases, many linked to diet and lifestyle. More than 70% of American adults are overweight or obese, and almost one in three teenagers has prediabetes.

In addition to potential benefits for Brazilian exporters, the new guidelines pleased American agribusiness. “At long last, we are realigning our food system to support American farmers, ranchers, and companies that grow and produce real food,” said the Secretary of the US Department of Agriculture (USDA), Brooke Rollins.

Zippy Duvall, president of the American Farm Bureau, emphasized that the measures reaffirm the importance of rural producers.

*By Rafael Walendorff and Nayara Figueiredo — São Paulo and Brasília

Source: Valor International

https://valorinternational.globo.com/

/by

U.S. court recognizes Banco Master liquidation, freezes assets

Ruling triggers automatic blocking of assets held in the U.S. by Daniel Vorcaro’s bank

 

 

01/09/2026

Judge Scott M. Grossman of the U.S. Bankruptcy Court for the Southern District of Florida on Thursday (8) recognized the liquidation proceedings of Banco Master in the United States, despite objections raised by the defense of its owner, Daniel Vorcaro. As a result, the group’s assets in the U.S. are automatically frozen.

“The Brazilian liquidation proceeding shall be given full force and effect and be binding on and enforceable in the United States against all persons and entities,” the ruling states. The decision was issued a day after a hearing attended by Vorcaro’s defense team and lawyers for EFB Regimes Especiais de Empresas, the court-appointed liquidator designated by Brazil’s Central Bank.

Vorcaro’s attorneys had asked the U.S. court not to recognize the bank’s liquidation, as requested by the liquidator. In their arguments, they cited an inspection ordered by a justice of Brazil’s public spending watchdog, the TCU, and claimed there was a possibility that the liquidation could be reversed.

Information about the defense’s petition was first reported by O Globo newspaper and confirmed by Valor. According to documents reviewed by the newspaper, the law firm King & Ruiz, which represents Vorcaro, argued that Banco Master’s liquidation is a “controversial” matter in Brazil. “Although liquidation may be inevitable in some cases, it is far from clear that liquidation is inevitable for Banco Master,” the filing said.

The defense team maintained that recognizing the liquidation at this stage would be “premature” and argued that, although the liquidator states that all of his actions are ultimately subject to “judicial review,” this does not prove that the case is in fact being reviewed by a “foreign court,” as required under U.S. law.

Vorcaro also argued that the liquidator is seeking excessive powers over Banco Master’s assets in the United States. “The exercise of these powers could irreversibly and adversely affect Banco Master’s assets in the United States,” the defense team said.

In its rebuttal, EFB stated that Banco Master’s liquidation stems from the discovery of an “enormous fraud” and followed a series of failed attempts to sell control of the group. The filing, prepared by the law firm Sequor Law, also noted that the Central Bank’s investigations triggered a wave of coverage in domestic and international media outlets, “which began to associate Mr. Vorcaro’s life of luxury and extravagance, including the acquisition of properties and assets in foreign jurisdictions, with potential frauds committed to the detriment of [Master’s] account holders and investors.”

The liquidator’s attorneys said Vorcaro is suspected of having transferred large sums to himself at the expense of Banco Master’s creditors and investors, and that he was released from jail only on the condition that he wear an electronic ankle monitor.

Addressing Vorcaro’s claim that the liquidation could be reversed, the liquidator’s lawyers said that “there are no pending decisions that in any way alter the status, pendency, or validity of the Brazilian liquidation proceeding.” “As indicated above, no decision in the TCU proceeding suggests that the liquidation will be reversed or seeks to affect the validity or pendency of the Brazilian liquidation process,” they added.

*By Álvaro Campos, Valor — São Paulo

Source: Valor International

https://valorinternational.globo.com/

/by

Brazilian issuers ready $10bn wave of overseas bonds

Investment expect another strong year for dollar-denominated debt issuance following market’s recovery in 2025, when fundraising reached about $34bn

 

 

 

01/09/2026 

After a brief setback in the international bond market for Brazilian issuers, as investors became more cautious following concerns involving Ambipar and Braskem, companies from the country are expected to resume the pace of dollar fundraising in early 2026. Expectations are that the first issuance window of the year, between January and February, could total up to $10bn, with around ten companies on the list of potential offerings.

If confirmed, the volume would match the same period in 2025, which was already very strong, marked by the return of large issuers to the external market.

The start of the year is expected to be the most favorable period of 2026. Many companies are likely to bring forward their fundraising plans to avoid getting too close to Brazil’s presidential elections. Issuers, however, are keeping an eye on possible developments stemming from the U.S. operation in Venezuela, which resulted in the arrest of Nicolás Maduro. So far, the event has not had significant negative effects on the secondary market for Brazilian bonds. The risk of spillover, however, is not negligible, according to some asset managers.

Despite the electoral calendar, the view among investment bankers is that this will be another strong year for dollar-denominated debt issuance following the market recovery in 2025, when fundraising reached about $34bn.

Gustavo Siqueira, co-head of capital markets and fixed income for Latin America at Morgan Stanley, says he believes that more than the elections themselves, the factor that will dictate the pace of transactions will be the domestic market, which has been growing and has led many companies to concentrate their issuance locally. “On the map, we have to put the local market, because depending on how the dynamics are here, more companies may look abroad,” he says.

For January and February, Siqueira projects between $7bn and $10bn raised, with around ten transactions. He believes Brazilian offerings could reach around $30bn for the year, marking a new positive cycle.

For Miguel Diaz, head of external fixed income at Santander Brasil, “the macro environment outside the country tends to outweigh the domestic macroeconomic scenario” in issuers’ decision-making. “If there is ample liquidity and greater clarity around monetary policy abroad, that should outweigh Brazilian political uncertainties,” he says.

In Diaz’s view, as in several moments last year, issuance decisions will be taken at the last minute. “In 2025 we saw companies doing behind-the-scenes work with investors, and decisions were made very close to the offering,” he says. According to him, since early December companies have resumed contact with investors, but without finalizing transactions.

Part of this behavior is explained by the fact that other issues are currently on chief financial officers’ radar, such as dividend taxation, says the Santander executive. “What we expect is that at the turn of the year they will move toward fundraising,” he adds.

Diaz expects offerings to gain traction from February onward, as fourth-quarter financial results are released.

Joel Schimchak, who heads fixed income at Goldman Sachs in Brazil, says election-related volatility should emerge only in the second half of the year and that stability in US Treasuries will keep the market open to Brazilian issuers. According to him, companies are likely to prefer issuing in the first half to secure market access and navigate the electoral period more smoothly.

A Bank of America (BofA) study shows that in non-election years, 40% of transactions are concentrated in the second half. In election years, however, that share drops to 20%, says Caio de Luca Simões, head of fixed income at the bank. “There is a perception that the earlier, the better, because the issuer can avoid some volatility and drink cleaner water.”

The main point of attention, according to Schimchak, will be geopolitical events. Investors will also continue to monitor more highly leveraged companies. Siqueira, of Morgan Stanley, does not believe recent credit events will be strong enough to contaminate other transactions, but investor caution will lead to more detailed due diligence, especially for companies seeking access to the international fixed-income market for the first time.

Simões also says he does not believe in the possibility of contagion. According to him, the current moment is one of credibility with investors, despite isolated events. “There was no credit crisis with companies going bankrupt, for example, because of interest rate levels. These were governance issues and problems in specific industries,” he says.

Last year saw intense activity for banks involved in overseas issuance. After calmer years, issuance volume reached $34bn across more than 40 transactions, 59% higher than in 2024.

The Treasury issued more than $10bn in external debt securities, becoming one of the most active issuers of the year. The federal government accessed the market four times in 2025. The most recent offering took place in November, amid COP 30 in Belém. On that occasion, new green bonds were issued, the Global 2033 Sustainable, and the current 10-year benchmark, the Global 2025, was reopened.

JBS, Bradesco, Embraer, FS Bio, Vale and Raízen also raised funds more than once last year.

The largest transaction was by JBS. In June, the food producer raised $3.5bn. Demand reached $16.7bn, nearly five times the offering size, according to sources. Beyond the volume, the deal set other milestones: in one of the 30-year tranches, the yield reached the lowest level ever recorded for Brazilian issuances with the same maturity. In another, the bond was issued with the longest maturity ever for a Brazilian company—40 years. According to investment banks, such maturities are typically seen only in deals by US companies.

The year also saw debut issuers. In November, Eldorado Brasil raised $500m in the last external issuance by a Brazilian company in 2025. In September, car rental company Vamos made its debut with a $300m transaction.

*By Fernanda Guimarães and Rita Azevedo — São Paulo

Source: Valor International

https://valorinternational.globo.com/

/by

Venezuela makes up only 0.24% of Brazilian trade

Collapse of country’s economy reduced importance of bilateral trade since 2013

 

 

 

 

01/07/2026 

Venezuela’s share of Brazilian exports, which came close to 3% in 2007, fell to just 0.24% in 2025, according to foreign trade statistics from the Ministry of Development, Industry, Trade and Services (MDIC).

The loss of relevance is also seen in Brazilian imports from the neighboring country, which declined from 3.86% in 2007 to 0.12% in 2025.

In absolute terms, Brazilian exports to Venezuela stood at nearly $5 billion a year between 2011 and 2014, a level also close to that recorded in 2007 and 2008. Since 2013, however, there has been a sharp slowdown.

Last year, Brazil’s exports to Venezuela totaled less than $1 billion ($838.2 million), something that had not occurred since 2020. The figure represents a drop of nearly 30% compared with 2024. On the import side, the value fell 17.3% over the same comparison period, to $349.1 million.

The decline in bilateral trade follows the weakening of Venezuela’s economy, specialists say.

In releasing the 2025 trade balance figures, the Ministry of Development, Industry, Trade and Services stated that “trade with Venezuela experienced marked fluctuations between 1997 and 2025,” adding that “the country’s relative weight declined over time.”

Venezuela is currently only the 52nd-largest destination for Brazilian exports and the 61st-largest supplier of Brazilian imports. Its 0.24% share of Brazil’s exports in 2025 was far below that of the main South American countries.

Argentina leads the region with a 5.2% share and ranks third globally, behind only China (28.7%) and the U.S. (10.8%). Chile (2.1%) is second in South America, followed by Paraguay (1.2%), Uruguay and Colombia (both at 1%), and Peru (0.9%). Outside the region, Venezuela’s share of Brazilian exports is comparable to that of countries such as Israel (0.2%), Bulgaria (0.2%) and Australia (0.3%).

In Venezuela’s foreign trade environment, economic sanctions and the embargo on oil sales to the U.S. weigh heavily. The restrictions affect crude oil exports and the import of raw materials.

Oil production in Venezuela fell from more than 3 million barrels per day in 2000 to less than 1 million barrels per day in 2025.

“Bilateral trade between Brazil and Venezuela showed marked fluctuations between 1997 and 2025. The peak in exports was reached in 2008, when they exceeded $5.1 billion. Brazilian imports from Venezuela peaked in 2000, surpassing $1.3 billion,” the ministry said.

Significant reduction

The ministry’s assessment points to “a significant reduction in bilateral trade” starting in 2013, “culminating in historic lows between 2019 and 2020.” “Total trade, which had reached its highest level in 2013 (more than $6 billion), lost momentum in subsequent years,” the statement said.

The drop in Brazilian shipments mainly reflects Venezuela’s payment difficulties, according to Welber Barral, a partner at BMJ and former Foreign Trade secretary.

“Today, what Brazil exports is almost always paid for in cash and includes some intracompany transactions, which ends up limiting the scale of trade between the two countries,” he said.

Livio Ribeiro, an associate researcher at the Brazilian Institute of Economics of Fundação Getulio Vargas (FGV Ibre) and co-founder of consultancy BRCG, describes trade with Venezuela as “irrelevant” at present, after the losses suffered by the Venezuelan economy in recent years.

“In trade terms, the impact is extremely limited,” Ribeiro said.

The small scale of bilateral trade is also highlighted by Lia Valls, a professor at Rio de Janeiro State University (UERJ) and an associate researcher at FGV Ibre. She believes the low figures suggest there will be no impact on Venezuela’s trade relations with Brazil or even with the rest of the world. “Venezuela’s trade with Brazil and with the world is very small. These are very low values,” she said.

According to the classification used in the ministry’s study, Venezuela’s share of Brazil’s total foreign trade remained “modest” for most of the period since 1997, when the historical series begins. The neighboring country’s share of Brazilian exports has remained below 0.4% since 2017.

The data indicate, according to MDIC, that “despite its historical relevance, Venezuela’s relative weight declined over time.”

The main product exported to Venezuela in 2025 was sugar, followed by food preparations such as flours, mayonnaise and beverage mixes, as well as corn, rice and automobiles, among others. On the import side, Brazil mainly purchased fertilizers, aluminum and methanol.

*By Lucianne Carneiro, Marta Watanabe and Giordanna Neves – Rio de Janeiro, São Paulo, Brasília

Source: Valor International

https://valorinternational.globo.com/

/by

China sold one-quarter of Brazil imports in 2025

Electric vehicles, oil rigs, agrichemicals and telecom equipment put dent on $68.3bn trade surplus

 

 

 

01/07/2026

In a 2025 marked by resilient imports in the first half and rising exports to China amid U.S. tariff hikes in the second half of the year, Brazil’s trade balance surplus of $68.3 billion came in higher than initially expected, but below the $74.2 billion recorded in 2024. China remained the clear leader both as a destination for Brazilian shipments and as a source of imports. On the import side, it set a new record, accounting for more than one-quarter—25.3%—of Brazil’s foreign purchases in 2025.

The 2025 balance resulted from $348.7 billion in exports and $280.4 billion in imports, according to data released yesterday by the Foreign Trade Secretariat (Secex/Mdic). The decline in the surplus compared with 2024 is explained by faster growth in import values, which rose 6.7%, nearly double the 3.5% increase in export revenues. With expansion on both sides, exports, imports and total trade flow reached their highest level on record in 2025.

Looking ahead to 2026, economists point to uncertainties ranging from the outcome of negotiations over items that remain subject to U.S. surcharges to new protectionist measures from Mexico and China, not to mention the potential geopolitical impacts of U.S. operations in Venezuela on countries neighboring Brazil. There are also positive expectations, such as the conclusion of the trade agreement between the European Union (EU) and Mercosur.

For José Augusto de Castro, president of the Brazilian Foreign Trade Association (AEB), the level of uncertainty helps explain the wide range in Secex’s estimate for this year, which projects a Brazilian trade surplus between $70 billion and $90 billion.

The dynamism of the trade balance in 2025 helps explain this, Castro says. “The 2025 result was far better than anyone imagined at the beginning of last year, when balances were weak because imports were still growing more than expected. In the second half there was a slowdown in imports and exports posted gains that no one had anticipated.” Secex had projected a $61 billion surplus for 2025, $7.3 billion below the outcome. Soybean exports to China, Castro notes, gained strength in the second half and broke historical seasonality, remaining relatively strong through December.

Secex data show that in the first half of 2025 soybean exports totaled $25.4 billion, down 9.2% from the same period in 2024. From July to December 2025, they reached $18.2 billion, up 20.9%. For the full year, soybean export revenues rose 1.4%. With a record harvest, the volume of soybeans shipped in 2025 increased 9.5%, while prices fell 7.4%. China absorbed 77% of Brazil’s soybean shipments in 2025. The grain accounted for 34% of exports to China that year, followed by oil and iron ore, with shares of 20.1% and 19.5%, respectively.

For Lucas Barbosa, an economist at AZ Quest, Brazil’s trade balance in 2025 showed resilience, with a more diversified export mix. For 2026, Barbosa estimates the surplus could reach $75 billion. The outlook, he says, is favorable for metal commodity prices, “which could give iron ore a relevant role again.” For agricultural commodities, a mixed performance is expected. Crop development, especially soybeans and corn in Brazi, has been very favorable, he says. “The expectation is not for any extraordinary growth like we had in 2025, but rather for maintaining current levels of agricultural export volumes.”

The biggest uncertainty, he adds, lies in energy. “We have seen various movements around oil, which is priced at relatively low levels compared with recent years, around $60 a barrel.” Lower oil prices could affect Brazil. “The Venezuela issue is not a short-term matter, but from a medium-term perspective there could be effects.”

For imports in 2026, Barbosa says the estimate is for levels to be flat or slightly higher than in 2025, totaling between $280 billion and $290 billion. “If we have a sharper slowdown than expected, imports could even fall. But the most important thing would be to see lower import growth rates than those currently observed.”

André Valério, an economist at Banco Inter, expects a $70 billion surplus this year, with the dynamics seen in 2025 continuing. “There is an expectation of a definitive resolution to the tariff impasse imposed by the U.S., as well as the Mercosur-EU agreement, which would tend to improve trade balance dynamics at the margin. On the other hand, growing geopolitical uncertainties cloud the outlook. In 2025, Brazil benefited from this higher uncertainty, increasing its share of imports from China by occupying space left by U.S. suppliers to the Asian country.” The rise in soybean exports in the second half is seen as part of this process.

In relations with trade partners, Barbosa recommends keeping close watch on bilateral trade between the U.S. and Brazil. “It improved slightly at the margin, but the environment of uncertainty ended up affecting the volume of exports and imports between the two countries.” The positive highlight in 2025, he says, was Argentina, due to the country’s economic recovery. According to MDIC data, revenue from Brazilian exports to the U.S. fell 6.6% in 2025 compared with 2024, while export volumes declined 3.9%. To Argentina, export values rose 31.4% and volumes increased 24.7%.

Lia Valls, a postgraduate professor at the Rio de Janeiro State University (UERJ) and a researcher at FGV Ibre, recalls that the tariff hikes imposed by U.S. President Donald Trump were one of the factors that changed the dynamics of Brazil’s export destinations during 2025. “In the first half, Brazilian exports to China fell in several months compared with 2024, while shipments to the U.S. were growing. In the second half, this reversed.”

For Herlon Brandão, Secex’s director of foreign trade statistics and studies, the drop in exports to the U.S. is not fully explained by the tariffs. “There was a decline in oil, which was not affected by the tariffs but by U.S. demand. But other sectors, such as wood and machinery, were affected.”

Imports from the U.S. to Brazil, Brandão says, rose 11.3% in 2025. “As the United States is the third-largest source of Brazilian imports, [the result] is largely explained by Brazilian demand.”

The U.S. remained Brazil’s second-largest supplier in 2025, accounting for 16.1% of all imports that year. On the export side, it also held second place despite the decline in shipments. Argentina ranked third.

China maintained its consolidated leadership both as a destination for Brazilian exports and as the origin of imports. More than that, China reached a record share in Brazil’s import series, with 25.3% in 2025, surpassing the 2024 peak of 24.2%. Imports made in China totaled $70.9 billion in 2025, up 11.5% from 2024. The growth rate was 4.8 percentage points higher than the increase in Brazil’s total imports over the same period.

Electric or electrified and hybrid vehicles stood out among Brazilian purchases of Chinese goods in 2025, totaling $3.28 billion and topping the list of imports from the Asian country. Purchases of $2.67 billion in oil platforms also contributed to import growth. In third and fourth place among the most purchased items from China were insecticides and herbicides and telecommunications devices, respectively, reflecting the broad heterogeneity of China’s export basket.

*By Marta Watanabe and Giordanna Neves — São Paulo and Brasília

Source: Valor International

https://valorinternational.globo.com/

/by

Brazilian meatpackers seek options to deal with China’s export quota

Industry debates distribution of quotas among exporters; lack of consensus among companies poses a challenge

 

 

 

01/07/2026 

Brazilian meatpackers are evaluating options to deal with the new quota for beef exports to China, of 1.1 million tonnes, and the 55% tariff for shipments exceeding that volume. One option discussed is distributing the quota among exporters, a measure that may face resistance from some companies.

The distribution would be an attempt to avoid a rush to buy cattle by exporting meatpackers seeking to meet the quota. If that happens, at a time when the supply of pasture-raised cattle is greater, the price per arroba (a metric unit equal to 15 kilos) may fall, since the tendency is for ranchers to sell, said the director of Scot Consultoria, Alcides Torres.

“If companies fail to reach a consensus, the price will fall because everyone will rush to deliver meat within the quota,” he said. “The idea is to distribute this quota among exporting meatpackers, based on export performance in 2025 or in recent years,” he added.

An industry source noted, however, that this would not be a simple task, as some companies have had recent disagreements on other issues.

An example is the relationship between MBRF—the result of the Marfrig and BRF merger—and Minerva, companies that went through conflicts in 2025, when Minerva disagreed with the merger.

“Minerva would be growing its shipments to China, given the acquisition of Marfrig plants, but it doesn’t have a history of this yet, so setting criteria like this and reaching a consensus (to distribute the quota) seems challenging for these players,” the source told Valor. When questioned, MBRF and Minerva declined to comment.

Companies in the sector are also advocating, along with Brazil’s federal government, that Brazilian cargo that is either in Chinese ports or in transit to China should not be included in the quota that officially came into effect on January 1st. These shipments represent approximately 350,000 tonnes.

Paulo Bellicanta, president of the Association of Meat Processing Industries of the State of Mato Grosso (Sindifrigo MT), stated in an article that if these shipments are included in the quota, there would be just over 750,000 tonnes available for exports to the Chinese market throughout 2026.

“Divided by 12 months, this volume translates to approximately 62,500 tonnes per month, a level totally disconnected from the current sector reality,” he estimated. For comparison, Brazil had been exporting volumes exceeding 160,000 tonnes per month to China in recent months. “The only possible path is institutional dialogue with the Chinese authorities, seeking a balanced understanding, built government to government,” suggested Bellicanta.

A third option presented by the meatpacking industry to deal with the situation would be the possibility of Brazil fulfilling the remaining volume from other supplier countries that are unable to meet their quotas for exports to China.

In addition to Brazil, China has also set quotas for countries such as Argentina, Uruguay, Australia, and the USA.

*By Nayara Figueiredo, Globo Rural — São Paulo

Source: Valor International

https://valorinternational.globo.com/

/by

With Chinese automakers, electrification outpaces forecasts

Chinese automakers accelerate Brazil’s shift to electrified vehicles, reshaping manufacturing and pushing hybrid, EV adoption well ahead of official forecasts

 

 

 

 

 

01/05/2026 

A wave that has been shaking Brazil’s automotive industry since 2022 has increasingly been gaining strength. Holding more than 7% of the market, Chinese brands have brought forward the country’s electrification timeline by at least two years. As a result, nearly 11% of cars sold today feature some form of electrified powertrain. The speed long associated with Chinese business is now extending to manufacturing. In addition to building, buying, or operating their own plants, Chinese companies are now taking advantage of idle capacity at other automakers. Beyond accelerating electrification, 2026 marks a new configuration of Brazil’s automotive industrial base, as China’s car industry tests its global expansion capabilities in the country.

The pace is brisk. The number of Chinese car brands operating in Brazil rose from four in 2024 to 11 in 2025 and reached 14 by year-end. There are also two truck makers—Foton, already established, and JAC, just starting sales. Through November 2025, while Brazil’s overall vehicle market grew just 1.4%, sales by Chinese brands jumped 53%, according to the National Association of Vehicle Manufacturers (ANFAVEA). Over the same period, sales of hybrids and electric vehicles—a Chinese specialty—rose 57%.

“There is no doubt about the impact. The Chinese, who once lacked a quality image, have quickly won over the market. This industry has gone from technology follower to technology leader, a symbol of quality and modernity that also offers better value for money. It’s a revolution,” noted Rogelio Golfarb, consultant and former president of ANFAVEA.

At first, it appeared that the strategy was to tap the potential of Brazil’s market—the world’s sixth largest—for exports. That changed when GWM and BYD opened factories in 2025. What now draws attention are partnerships with automakers already operating in the country. Without laying a single brick, two Chinese brands are set to begin local production this year.

By acquiring 26.5% of Renault do Brasil, Geely will be able to use not only the plant in São José dos Pinhais (Paraná) but also the French automaker’s dealer network and after-sales structure. Another alliance—this one global—between Stellantis and Leapmotor will allow the Chinese brand to run a production line at Stellantis’ factory in Goiana (Pernambuco).

Joining forces with what initially seemed like an enemy will benefit both sides. “They come in with new platforms [for electrified vehicles], and we bring the factory,” said Renault CEO Fabrice Cambolive.

Antonio Filosa, Stellantis’ CEO, explained the rationale behind the alliance: “Over the past 20 years, China has worked with a long-term, visionary and consistent approach to build the ecosystem needed to make competitive, affordable electric vehicles.”

Filosa attributed this success to China’s industrial policies that “encouraged automakers and suppliers to invest in this type of technology.” “The private sector responded and built technological capability,” he said.

According to Golfarb, Chinese companies saw Brazil’s idle industrial capacity—estimated at up to 45%—as an opportunity to produce at lower costs. Renault’s plant has an annual capacity of 400,000 units, but currently operates at about half that level. For Cambolive, the partnership with Geely will help fill the gap.

“The global automotive industry is watching what the Chinese are doing in Brazil,” Golfarb said. In his view, Brazil serves as a “laboratory” for them. “The goal has always been international expansion, whether in making sneakers, ships, or cars.”

The Chinese wave has also introduced another manufacturing model. Through its partnership with SAIC and Wuling in China (SAIC-GM-Wuling Automobile), General Motors began, in December, local production of EVs that it had previously imported from China.

The new production line, however, will not be located at any of the three plants GM operates in Brazil. It will be outsourced. The electric Spark and Captiva models will be built at PACE (Planta Automotiva do Ceará), in Horizonte (Ceará), a facility that once housed Troller, formerly owned by Ford. Located in a region that benefits from tax incentives, the plant was acquired by Comexport, a Brazilian group planning to manufacture a range of electrified vehicle brands.

Rising sales and the arrival of new Chinese players have pushed Brazil’s market to an electrification level that exceeds projections. According to Ricardo Bastos, president of the Brazilian Electric Vehicle Association (ABVE), the association had estimated that hybrids and electric vehicles would account for 10% of domestic sales by 2027. That threshold was reached earlier, at 10.7%, as of November 2025.

Several factors support further growth. One is the expansion of charging infrastructure. Although still insufficient and nearly nonexistent in rural areas, the number of public charging points, largely installed by private companies, is increasing.

Over two years, the number of charging points jumped from 3,800 to 16,800, according to ABVE. In addition, faster chargers are being introduced regularly.

Brazilian multinational WEG has launched an ultrafast 640-kW charger capable of serving four vehicles simultaneously and, according to company president Alberto Kuba, “charging the battery of an electric Porsche in under half an hour.”

The next step, Kuba said, is integrating the car with the home. Another WEG system allows electricity to be stored in the car’s battery during off-peak hours and later “discharged” to supply the home during peak periods, when power costs are higher.

Another factor supporting the advance of electromobility is the imminent conclusion of a debate over charging safety in residential garages. After a lengthy controversy sparked by concerns raised by the Fire Department, São Paulo’s state legislature approved a bill in recent days regulating the installation of charging points in multifamily-housing.

São Paulo’s initiative, which sets guidelines for safe installations, is expected to be followed by other states. It puts an end to uncertainty that had stalled the construction sector and is likely to cool disputes within multifamily-housing. According to William Esper, president of the Brazilian Association of Technical Standards (ABNT), the organization will launch awareness campaigns for building managers and insurance companies. ABNT has also issued recommendations for professionals who work on the maintenance of electric and hybrid vehicles.

Electromobility is also advancing in fleets operated by rental companies, taxis, and vehicles for persons with disabilities (PwD). Vehicles sold under these categories are tax-exempt, provided they are produced locally. With its factory in Camaçari (Bahia), BYD has been able to enter the direct-sales segment, said Pablo Toledo, the company’s chief communications and marketing officer. Prices for the Dolphin Mini, sold at retail for R$119,900, drop to R$107,000 for fleet buyers, R$99,900 for PwD customers, and R$ 98,500 for taxi drivers.

In partnership with BYD, EPR Triângulo—the concessionaire that operates nine highways in the Triângulo Mineiro region—has electrified 100% of its passenger vehicle fleet used for road monitoring and administrative activities.

This year is also likely to mark the rise of so-called mild hybrids, a segment in which legacy automakers are investing. ABVE does not include this category in its sales tally because, in mild hybrids, the electric motor does not drive the vehicle. Combined with the internal combustion engine, however, it improves fuel efficiency and reduces emissions. ANFAVEA considers this type of vehicle important for decarbonizing transportation, especially when fueled with ethanol.

Mild hybrids are expected to become the economy car of the electromobility era. “It’s an important step for entry-level vehicles,” said Ciro Possobom, president of Volkswagen do Brasil. For Herlander Zola, president of Stellantis South America—the first of the legacy automakers to launch ethanol-powered mild hybrids—sales of hybrids will surpass those of purely combustion-engine cars within five years.

That view is shared by analysts. “We believe in the strength of combining mild hybrids with ethanol, which, in addition to being lower cost, can reduce emissions more than electric vehicles when the production phase is taken into account,” said Masao Ukon, partner and managing director at Boston Consulting Group (BCG). According to Ukon, from now on, sales of electrified vehicles will consistently grow faster than the overall market.

The total number of hybrids and electric vehicles sold in 2025 will be released this week. Preliminary estimates point to between 265,000 and 270,000 units, including all vehicles with some level of electrification.

Cassio Pagliarini, a former industry executive and now a consultant at Bright Consulting, estimates that EV sales will exceed 400,000 units in 2026. In his view, the biggest gains will come from mild hybrids and conventional hybrids, which “have lower costs, do not require charging infrastructure and offer a way to comply with the MOVER legislation” (a federal program in Brazil that provides tax incentives in exchange for meeting energy efficiency and emissions standards).

From an engineering standpoint, mild hybrids help preserve production with a high share of locally sourced components, preventing Chinese automakers that assemble vehicles from imported kits from altering the current manufacturing structure. “Engineering and the auto parts supply chain are our greatest legacy,” said Marcus Aguiar, president of the Brazilian Association of Automotive Engineering (AEA).

*By Marli Olmos — São Paulo

Source: Valor International

https://valorinternational.globo.com/

/by

Brazil readies opposition at UN Security Council

Diplomats expect debate to focus on legality of U.S. military action against Venezuela and its humanitarian impacts

 

 

01/05/2026 

Brazil plans to present its position opposing the U.S. attack on Venezuela during a meeting of the United Nations Security Council scheduled for Monday (5). The statement will be delivered by Brazil’s ambassador to the UN, Sergio Danese, who will request the floor under UN rules that allow non-member countries of the council to speak. In his remarks, Brazil is expected to reiterate its defense of international law, state sovereignty and its opposition to any form of territorial violation.

At the Security Council, Brazilian diplomats assess that the debate will focus on the legality of the military action and its humanitarian impacts, as well as the situation in Venezuela following the attacks.

Although Brazil is not currently a member of the council, its participation is seen as relevant given the country’s diplomatic tradition of defending multilateralism and the peaceful resolution of disputes. The meeting is considered a key forum to place official positions on record and to press for diplomatic efforts to prevent an escalation of the conflict.

The meeting follows the U.S. attack on Venezuela over the weekend and comes one day after an extraordinary meeting of the Community of Latin American and Caribbean States (Celac), which discussed the unfolding crisis but failed to produce a single joint position among member countries.

On Saturday and Sunday (3 and 4), Brazilian Foreign Minister Mauro Vieira held talks with his counterparts from Chile, Mexico, France, Spain and Uruguay, as well as with the European Union’s foreign policy chief. The discussions were part of a diplomatic effort to align positions and advocate a response based on dialogue.

In an official statement released on Saturday, President Lula condemned the attacks, saying the bombings and the capture of President Nicolás Maduro “cross an unacceptable line” and open an “extremely dangerous precedent” for international relations.

Brazil also signed, alongside Colombia, Chile, Spain, Mexico and Uruguay, a joint statement expressing “deep concern” over the situation in Venezuela and condemning the U.S. attacks.

In the statement released on Sunday (4), the countries voiced concern over any attempt at external control or appropriation of natural or strategic resources, in a criticism of remarks by U.S. President Donald Trump that he would bring U.S. oil companies to control Venezuela’s oil.

According to a source in Brazilian diplomacy, the signatory countries were also involved in brokering the Barbados Agreement, which aimed to ensure the holding of elections in Venezuela in 2024, and therefore have been closely following developments in the Caribbean country for some time.

Brazil believes that, at this moment, an appropriate response was a collective statement by countries with similar concerns, the diplomatic source said. If there is interest from additional countries, new statements could be issued, but this is not yet under consideration.

*By Beatriz Roscoe, Valor — Brasília

Source: Valor International

https://valorinternational.globo.com/

/by

Government adopts cautious stance on Venezuela

Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Spain, Mexico and Uruguay sign statement and express “deep concern”

 

 

01/05/2026 

The Brazilian government continues to monitor developments following the U.S. attack on Venezuela with concern. Brazilian sources acknowledge the gravity of the U.S. action and the level of interference in the region but recommend caution. They argue that it is necessary to better understand Washington’s next steps and how relations will unfold with Venezuelan Vice President Delcy Rodríguez, who assumed control of the country after the capture of Nicolás Maduro.

After several months in which the U.S. maintained maritime military operations off the Venezuelan coast, the government of Donald Trump bombed the city of Caracas in the early hours of Saturday (3) and seized Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores. The two were taken to New York, where they are expected to stand trial.

On Saturday, Donald Trump said the U.S. government would “run” the country until an “appropriate transition” and announced interest in controlling the region’s oil, stating that he would bring U.S. oil companies to Venezuela.

Meanwhile, there was no consensus at the extraordinary ministerial meeting of the Community of Latin American and Caribbean States (CELAC) held on Sunday to discuss the situation in Venezuela after the U.S. attack. The foreign ministers of the region’s 33 countries were able to express their positions during the meeting, which was held virtually, but no joint statement was issued.

CELAC is a heterogeneous bloc, bringing together countries ranging from Cuba to nations aligned with the U.S., such as Argentina. A group of countries understood that there was no point in issuing a joint position. There was also no attempt to seek such consensus, according to a source in Brazilian diplomacy.

On the other hand, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Spain, Mexico and Uruguay released a joint statement even before the CELAC meeting condemning U.S. military actions in Venezuela. They also expressed concern over any attempt at external control or appropriation of natural or strategic resources, in a criticism of remarks by U.S. President Donald Trump that he would bring U.S. oil companies to control Venezuela’s oil.

“We express our concern in the face of any attempt at governmental control, administration or external appropriation of natural or strategic resources, which is incompatible with international law and threatens the political, economic and social stability of the region,” the six countries say. “We reaffirm that only an inclusive political process, led by Venezuelan women and men, can lead to a democratic, sustainable solution that respects human dignity,” they added.

The six signatories took part in the negotiations around the Barbados agreement, which aimed to ensure the holding of elections in Venezuela in 2024. The Brazilian government understood that, at this moment, what was appropriate was a collective statement by countries with similar concerns, Valor has learned.

The CELAC meeting lasted about two hours. Colombia opened the session, followed by remarks from Venezuela’s foreign minister. Argentina was represented by a foreign ministry official. The meeting was closed, but the statements by representatives of Venezuela and Cuba were broadcast by a Venezuelan television network.

At the meeting, Venezuelan Foreign Minister Yván Gil appealed for countries in the region to “take a step forward” against U.S. aggression and call for the release of Maduro. “CELAC cannot hesitate. CELAC cannot be divided between timid condemnations and complicit silences. Principles are not negotiable, they are not relative, and they are not softened. Either one stands on the side of international law, or on the side of the law of the strongest. CELAC countries must take a step forward, because remaining silent in the face of this aggression is equivalent to endorsing it,” Gil said.

Cuban Foreign Minister Bruno Rodríguez called on countries to set aside political and ideological differences in defense of the independence and sovereignty of each nation in Latin America and the Caribbean. In his remarks, he said it must not be allowed that “force and barbarism prevail over international law.”

Foreign Minister Mauro Vieira represented Brazil at the meeting, which was held by videoconference. The Brazilian minister delivered a brief and concise speech, emphasizing national sovereignty and adherence to international law, in line with the statement released on Saturday morning (3) by President Lula, Valor has learned.

Lula condemned the attacks in a statement, saying the bombings and the capture of Maduro “cross an unacceptable line” and open an “extremely dangerous” precedent for the entire international community. The Brazilian president also said the international community, through the United Nations, needs to respond “vigorously to this episode.” “Brazil condemns these actions and remains available to promote the path of dialogue and cooperation,” the head of the Brazilian executive wrote.

*By Beatriz Roscoe and Andrea Jubé — Brasília

Source: Valor International

https://valorinternational.globo.com/

/by