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Entries by Gelcy Bueno

Trump set to renew demands on Brazil after presidential runoff

Washington is expected to push for access to critical minerals, trade concessions and closer security ties, but analysts see obstacles even under a Bolsonaro presidency           10/19/2026  Donald Trump — Photo: Nathan Howard/Reuters The Trump administration is expected to renew pressure on Brazil over access to critical minerals, trade concessions and […]

Brazil plans R$20bn budget shift for Lula’s election pledges

Government says new measures can fit within spending limits, but economists warn of growing fiscal pressure and estimate much larger impact           10/19/2026 Matheus Rosa Ribeiro — Photo: Leo Pinheiro/Valor Facing criticism from fiscal experts and political opponents over a wave of measures announced by President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva […]

Shorter workweek could raise costs, inflation, economists warn

Analysts see higher labor costs and possible price increases, while others say better-rested workers and lower turnover could offset some of the impact         10/15/2026  Fernando de Holanda Barbosa Filho — Photo: Leo Pinheiro/Valor Brazil’s decision to end the six-day workweek could increase labor costs, put upward pressure on inflation, and force […]

Quaest poll shows Flávio Bolsonaro at 46%, Lula 44% in runoff

Candidates are in a statistical tie in polling firm’s first electoral survey for the second round of the presidential vote       10/15/2026 In the first Quaest poll for the presidential runoff, Senator Flávio Bolsonaro (Liberal Party, PL) leads with 46% of voting intentions, while President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (Workers’ Party, PT) […]

Lockheed Martin prepares autonomous Black Hawk for flight

U.S. military tests pilotless helicopters for logistics, rescue and firefighting missions as experts call for safeguards against AI risks           10/09/2026 Lockheed Martin is developing the autonomous U-Hawk helicopter as it expands its presence in Latin America — Photo: Lockheed Martin/Divulgação The U.S. Army has been testing fully autonomous helicopters developed […]

Election rally raises prospect of lasting market shift

Investors weigh whether post-election surge marks one-off repricing or start of sustained upswing reminiscent of Brazil’s investment-grade upgrade       10/09/2026 João Henrique da Fonseca — Photo: Nilani Goettems/Valor The outcome of Brazil’s first-round presidential election sent domestic financial markets soaring on October 5, producing one of the biggest single-day rallies in the country’s […]

NEWSLETTER SEPTEMBER 2026

09/01/2026 BRAZIL’S DEBT CLIMBS AS STATE-RUN FIRMS POST RECORD DEFICIT Gross debt reaches 82.5% of GDP, highest since 2021, while federal companies’ shortfall widens nearly 50% through July   Brazil’s general government gross debt, the main gauge of the country’s public debt burden, rose to 82.51% of gross domestic product in July, Central Bank data […]

NEWSLETTER September 2026

      09/01/2026 BRAZIL’S DEBT CLIMBS AS STATE-RUN FIRMS POST RECORD DEFICIT Gross debt reaches 82.5% of GDP, highest since 2021, while federal companies’ shortfall widens nearly 50% through July   Brazil’s general government gross debt, the main gauge of the country’s public debt burden, rose to 82.51% of gross domestic product in July, […]

Justices waver between pessimism and caution on impeachment risk

New Senate lineup puts members of the court on alert as Flávio Bolsonaro and his allies vow to remove justices     10/06/2026  From left to right: justices Alexandre de Moraes, Gilmar Mendes, Flávio Dino, André Mendonça, and Dias Toffoli — Photo: Antonio Augusto/STF Supreme Court justices consulted by Valor are divided over whether the […]

Food prices leave Brazilians feeling poorer despite economic gains

Groceries have risen 60.8% since the pandemic, far outpacing overall inflation and helping explain voter unease           10/06/2026 Fábio Romão: “Food has become more expensive, and short-term relief measures have done little to help” — Photo: Silvia Costanti/Valor Brazilian grocery bills have risen far faster than overall inflation since the pandemic, […]