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Supermarkets are a battlefield for industries trying to sell — Foto: Maria Isabel Oliveira/Agência O Globo
Foto: Maria Isabel Oliveira/Agência O Globo

The current scenario of fiercer competition between brands, following the drop in consumer disposable income, has made the industry spend more to try to improve its sales. Amounts paid by companies to retail chains, or negotiations involving discounts on invoices, lost strength in the first year of the pandemic, but accelerated again at levels above those of the last five years.

According to a survey conducted by Valor based on the financial statements of eight major chains that publish these figures, over R$2 billion in commercial funds were paid by manufacturers to retailers in 2021, a rise of 11.6% over 2020. For comparison, this expansion rate is more than double the average annual growth of 5.7% seen since 2016.

According to calculations, there was a 3.4% drop in the total amount in 2020 compared to 2019. When the health crisis began two years ago, the payment of emergency aid by the government supported the accelerated demand in consumption, and without the need for companies to support much more aggressive actions, some payments lost strength – a different picture from today.

The information was collected from the footnotes and/or financial reports released by GPA, Assaí, Carrefour (including Atacadão), Americanas, Magazine Luiza, Raia Drogasil and Panvel. Among all the companies, in two there is practically stability (GPA and RD) and in only one, Americanas, there is a drop, of 9.5%, in the amount.

There are companies that do not inform these numbers in their reports, such as Via and Grupo Mateus – the publication is not mandatory, according to Brazilian accounting standards. The industry does not usually inform this data in their earnings reports (Whirlpool, Ambev and M.Dias Branco, for example, do not disclose the information), so the best barometer is the retail market. Adding up all the chains, the expansion in disbursements is in line with the increase in total gross revenue in 2021 (11%).

According to consultants who work with the networks, these negotiations accelerated as of 2021, in a movement that has been extended through 2022, with a focus on increasing sales by commercialized volume. In 2021, much of the increase in revenue came from rising inflation, and not from volume (which even shrank in certain products).

“In the good years, companies take their foot off the gas in terms of funds. That’s not to say that retailers won’t continue to negotiate this with industry, but the commercial stimulus drops. But everything indicates that 2022 will be a year of more bumps, and with retailers feeling more pressure on cash, the need for these agreements on the store side increases,” says Eugenio Foganholo, head of consulting firm Mixxer.

“What happened in 2020 was a disruption of products, with the crisis of the supply chains in the pandemic,” says the chairman of the board of a retailer in São Paulo. “There was a shortage of merchandise, from cell phones to furniture, and no one had to beat a drum to sell. Part of 2021 wasn’t bad either, and that made the funding for actions in TV disappear. But if you look now, there are even wholesalers advertising meat and beer offerings in prime time. And the industry is the one who pays for part of this, under the cooperative advertising agreement.”

These negotiations involve marketing funds (support for campaigns in newspapers, on TVs), or in shelf exposure (who pays more has better space). There are still bonuses associated with industry purchase and customer sales targets, and freight reimbursements. If the chain exceeds the goal, a bonus is paid. And the payment can be made through the reduction of invoices payable to the industry.

Store openings are still part of the negotiations, although they do not involve such significant amounts, through the free delivery of initial batches of products to new stores. Openings receive greater funds than refurbished stores – last year, openings and conversions grew more than in 2020. Between openings and closings, the balance was positive in 204,000 stores, and in 2020 there were 75,000 closings. For 2022, the projection is for a new positive balance.

Among the cases analyzed, Carrefour (whose largest business is Atacadão), Dimed (Panvel) and Assaí lead the increase in payments, with expansion of 32%, 22% and 18%, respectively, in 2021 versus 2020. Carrefour integrated at the time the Makro chain to its store base, absorbing new contracts. The chain and Assaí have resumed openings since 2021.

Consultants also point out two aspects in these negotiations: the pressure that the industry itself faces in its expenses and the effect of high inflation in these trade agreements. Manoel Araujo, head of Martinez de Araujo Consultoria de Varejo, remembers yet another aspect. “I have five brands of a certain product in the store, and I signal that I will look for other cheaper brands in the market. I can still use the store’s own brand, which fits like a glove in these times of crisis. This all ends up entering the daily negotiation of discounts,” he says.

Despite the fact that, strategically, these negotiations are fundamental in the sector. Brazilian accounting rules do not require the disclosure of those numbers in the footnotes or in the earnings reports. And the subject has already been the target of fraud in the sector years ago.

There are chains and industries that only mention in the footnotes the existence of commercial agreements, and others that specify them in the “accounts receivable” or “suppliers” lines. The amount is also credited as a type of credit of the cost of the goods purchased.

Audit reports on chains’s financial statements often cite the bonuses as a “significant” issue that merits exchange of information with management for further clarification but conclude that the handling of the issue in statements is “acceptable”. In 2003, Dutch retailer Royal Ahold admitted that its profits were inflated by $500 million between 2001 and 2002 because of the inclusion of bonuses that never existed.

Source: Valor International

https://valorinternational.globo.com

Luana Miranda — Foto: Ana Paula Paiva/Valor

The Brazilian industry resumed growth in December (2.9% compared to November), even more than expected (1.6%, according do Valor Data), which helps to sustain a more positive view of economists for the GDP of the fourth quarter of 2021. The result, however, does not change the balance that 2021 was a challenging year for the sector, nor the prospect that 2022 will likely be a new period of contraction.

Industrial production had not recorded growth since May 2021 (1.2%). Besides these two months, there was a positive result in January (0.2%) and stability in November. As released on Wednesday by the statistics agency IBGE, 20 of the 26 activities analyzed rose in December, with vehicles (12.2%) standing out — the sector grew 20.3% in 2021, but still behind the 27.9% drop in 2020.

With the December result, the industry managed to be stable in the fourth quarter of 2021, compared to the three months immediately before, after three consecutive quarterly declines.

Three of the four major categories advanced in 2021, especially capital goods (28.3%), driven by agriculture and construction. The exception was semi- and non-durable goods (-0.5%).

Industry as a whole accumulated a 3.9% rise in 2021, the first year of expansion since 2018 (1%) and the highest annual rate since 2010 (10.2%). It was not enough, however, to offset the entire 4.5% drop in 2020, coming from -1.1% in 2019. “It is necessary to relativize the advance of 2021 with the losses of 2020 and 2019,” says André Macedo, manager of the Monthly Industrial Survey (PIM).

The industry is still 0.9% below the pre-pandemic level (February 2020) and 17.7% away from the highest level of the series (May 2011). The numbers for 2021 reflect a year marked, on the supply side, by more expensive production costs – such as higher energy tariffs – and the persistence of problems in global chains. On the demand side, high inflation eroded the purchasing power of families, which became even flatter as the labor market recovers with low-paying jobs.“

It was a good result to end the fourth quarter,” says Luana Miranda, economist at GAP Asset, regarding the rise in the industry in December. She recalls that October was “very bad” for the major sectors (industry, retail and services) and November brought mixed numbers, with the industry still in decline. Before the December PIM, Ms. Miranda projected a GDP of around 0.1% for the fourth quarter of 2021, a number that, now, “should go up a little bit,” she says.

The numbers reflect a year marked, on the supply side, by higher production costs – such as higher energy tariffs – and the persistence of problems in the supply chains. On the demand side, high inflation has eroded the purchasing power of families, which has been even more pressured with a labor market recovery based on precarious, lower-wage jobs.

Source: Valor International

https://valorinternational.globo.com