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Credit card association expects a surge in transactions for 2022 — Foto: Pixabay
Credit card association expects a surge in transactions for 2022 — Foto: Pixabay

The volume transacted with credit, debit and prepaid cards totaled R$2.65 trillion in 2021, an increase of 33.1% over the previous year, according to figures released Thursday by the Brazilian Association of Credit Card and Services Companies (Abecs). This year, the forecast is that the industry will advance 21%, a smaller growth but still robust when considering the macroeconomic scenario.

Of the total transacted last year, R$1.6 trillion refer to credit cards, up 36.6% over 2020. Debit totaled R$916.3 billion, an increase of 20.2%, and prepaid services, R$117.1 billion, a growth of 158.5%. There were 31.1 billion transactions in the year, 33.4% more than in 2020.

In the fourth quarter alone, card payments totaled R$796.5 billion, an increase of 30.7% year over year. According to the association, the sector has been sustaining the level of growth, stimulated by the digitalization of the economy and the recovery of consumption of goods and, mainly, services.

Payment-by-approximation was a highlight in the 2021 earnings reports. This payment method transacted R$198.9 billion, an amount 384.6% higher than in the previous year. Of this total, R$111.1 billion was spent using credit cards, an annual growth even higher of 489.1%. According to Abecs, one in four face-to-face transactions with credit cards is already done by approximation. And the expectation is that this level will continue to rise, reaching 50% by the end of the year.

In addition, remote purchases by card totaled R$569.7 billion, up 30.8% over 2020. Of the total, R$550.1 billion were credit operations, a modality in which there was an increase of 41.7%. Debit transactions totaled R$13.5 billion, a fall of 69.3%. According to the president of Abecs, Pedro Coutinho, this decline can be explained by factors such as the lower purchasing power of families and the effect of the Pix on the modality.

“With the advance of digital transformation, online purchases are gaining even more relevance, and the card is responsible for enabling a huge market of sales and services through e-commerce and applications. Currently, non-face-to-face payments represent 35% of all spending with credit cards,” says Abecs in a statement.

The sector believes in robust growth of the card industry, in the double digits, until 2025, said Coutinho. In 2022, Abecs says that the credit concessions on cards will remain at high levels, favored by low default rates and the economic recovery itself.

For the executive, the credit card delinquency rate will grow this year, but is not expected to reach the levels of the past, around 8%. Today, it is close to 5% “due to better assessment of credit and risk management,” he says. “The industry today has a very good capacity for granting credit.”

The slowdown in growth in 2022 is likely to come in the wake of many challenges, such as inflation, increases in the basic interest rate, which may impact credit concessions and retail sales, the low level of economic growth, and the electoral scenario. Despite this, the outlook for the sector is positive, adds Coutinho.

Among the factors that benefit the card industry, the association cites the consolidation of the habit of Brazilians “to make a relevant part of their transactions in a non-presential way” and the expectation of persistent growth of the payment by proximity throughout the year. There is also the recovery of services and household consumption.

Abecs sees a 20.5% increase in the values transacted via credit card this year, to R$3.2 trillion. It also projects an increase of 11.5% in debit and 100% in prepaid.

Source: Valor International

https://valorinternational.globo.com

7 Glorious Advantages of Being a Small Business

The government intends to inject credit into micro and small companies in 2022, special advisor to the Economy Ministry Guilherme Afif Domingos told Valor. He expects volumes to continue growing. From April 2020 until now, R$146.9 billion have been released, according to data from Portal do Empreendedor, a gateway to small independent businesses.

“It will be the time and the turn of the guarantee funds”, he said. Credit expansion will be supported by these instruments, which serve to cover banks’ losses in the event of default.

According to Mr. Afif, the Brazilian National Bank of Social Development (BNDES) will specialize in the management of specific guarantee funds for certain types of companies – credit to startups, for example.

In addition, there are plans to make permanent the resources of the Guarantee Funds of Operations (FGO), which in the last two years covered losses on loans from the Program of Support to Micro and Small Businesses (Pronampe), and from the Investment Guarantee Fund (FGI), which did the same in relation to Emergency Program for Credit Access (Peac).

These two funds received contributions in 2020 and 2021, as part of measures to fight the pandemic, but now they need to return the money to the Treasury. However, the maintenance of resources in the FGO and FGI is discussed, since Pronampe was converted from an emergency program into a permanent policy and there are plans to extend the Peac Maquininhas, the receivable guarantee modality.

The bill 3.188/21, authored by Senator Jorginho Mello (Liberal Party, PL of Santa Catarina state), under analysis in the Senate, goes in that direction. The proposal still needs to go through the Chamber of Deputies.

According to Mr. Afif, the FGO can be replenished with the funds that return from operations carried out in the last two years.

There are doubts in the technical area, for example, about how this resource should be treated in relation to the spending cap.

The continuity of the FGO is necessary to guarantee the expansion of credit for micro and small companies in 2022, said the president of the Brazilian Development Association (ABDE), Jeanette Lontra. The organization brings together development institutions, from BNDES to regional development agencies and credit cooperatives.

“It is in these countercyclical periods that the national development system shows its importance,” said Ms. Lontra. The amount contracted by micro and small companies in these institutions grew 118% during the pandemic, she said. The national development system made R$62.5 billion available to Pronampe.

According to Mr. Afif, guarantee funds make credit available to micro and small companies because they circumvent a problem that this public faces: lack of guarantees to be offered to financial institutions. It was based on this diagnosis that he, at the head of Sebrae (small-business support service), created the Guarantee Fund for Micro and Small Businesses (Fampe), 25 years ago. The formula proved to be right during the pandemic, with the performance of FGO and FGI.

Mr. Afif smiled when asked how much the hike in basic interest rates would derail plans to strengthen credit. “Microentrepreneurs have always worked with high interest rates,” he said. The creation of guarantee funds works in the opposite direction, that of reducing the cost of operations. “The spread goes down because the risk is lower.”

Source: Valor International

https://valorinternational.globo.com