{"id":98313,"date":"2026-04-27T15:52:19","date_gmt":"2026-04-27T18:52:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/murray.adv.br\/?p=98313"},"modified":"2026-04-27T15:52:19","modified_gmt":"2026-04-27T18:52:19","slug":"experts-concerned-about-plan-to-mitigate-fuel-price-hikes","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/murray.adv.br\/en\/experts-concerned-about-plan-to-mitigate-fuel-price-hikes\/","title":{"rendered":"Experts concerned about plan to mitigate fuel price hikes"},"content":{"rendered":"<section class=\"content--header\">\n<div class=\"row content-head non-featured \">\n<div class=\"title\">\n<h6 class=\"content-head__title\" style=\"text-align: center\"><strong><em>Due to its dependence on proceedings in Congress, there are still doubts about the extent of measure, experts say<\/em><\/strong><\/h6>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"content__signa-share\">\n<div class=\"content__signature\">\n<div class=\"content-publication-data\">\n<div class=\"content-publication-data__text\">\n<div class=\"content-publication-data__from\"><\/div>\n<p class=\"content-publication-data__updated\"><time datetime=\"2026-04-27T14:00:33.102-03:00\">04\/27\/2026\u00a0<\/time><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"content__share-bar-container\">\n<div class=\"content__share-bar\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/section>\n<div id=\"mc-article-body\" class=\"mc-article-body \">\n<article>\n<div class=\"no-paywall\">\n<div class=\"mc-column content-text active-extra-styles active-capital-letter\" data-block-type=\"unstyled\" data-block-weight=\"52\" data-block-id=\"1\">\n<p class=\" content-text__container theme-color-primary-first-letter\" data-track-category=\"Link no Texto\" data-track-links=\"\" data-mrf-recirculation=\"Article links\">The supplementary bill (PLP) that allows the federal government to use extra oil revenues to offset tax reductions on fuel could effectively prevent larger price hikes during periods of high volatility, experts in the sector say. However, since it depends on the National Congress, there are still doubts about the measure\u2019s extent.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"wall protected-content\">\n<div class=\"mc-column content-text active-extra-styles \" data-block-type=\"unstyled\" data-block-weight=\"67\" data-block-id=\"3\">\n<p class=\" content-text__container \" data-track-category=\"Link no Texto\" data-track-links=\"\" data-mrf-recirculation=\"Article links\">If approved, the PLP grants the government flexibility by permitting the offset of potential revenue losses\u2014due to tax reductions\u2014with increased revenue resulting from oil price shocks. The Fiscal Responsibility Law (LRF) requires tax cuts to be compensated by increases in other taxes. Since the beginning of the war, Brent crude oil has risen from a range of $65 to fluctuating between $95 and over $100 per barrel.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"mc-column content-text active-extra-styles \" data-block-type=\"unstyled\" data-block-weight=\"20\" data-block-id=\"4\">\n<p class=\" content-text__container \" data-track-category=\"Link no Texto\" data-track-links=\"\" data-mrf-recirculation=\"Article links\">However, economists view the measure with reservations, considering it negative for the fiscal scenario and with uncertain impacts on inflation.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"mc-column content-text active-extra-styles \" data-block-type=\"unstyled\" data-block-weight=\"45\" data-block-id=\"5\">\n<p class=\" content-text__container \" data-track-category=\"Link no Texto\" data-track-links=\"\" data-mrf-recirculation=\"Article links\">According to the PLP, revenue waivers can be applied to diesel, biodiesel, gasoline, and ethanol. Until now, the government has implemented measures to prevent price increases in diesel, biodiesel, and aviation kerosene (QAV). However, gasoline and ethanol have yet to have PIS\/Cofins cut to zero.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"mc-column content-text active-extra-styles \" data-block-type=\"unstyled\" data-block-weight=\"28\" data-block-id=\"6\">\n<p class=\" content-text__container \" data-track-category=\"Link no Texto\" data-track-links=\"\" data-mrf-recirculation=\"Article links\">\u201cWe always view favorably measures that can be taken to lower product prices,\u201d said James Thorp Neto, president of the National Federation of Fuel and Lubricant Trade (Fecombust\u00edveis).<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"mc-column content-text active-extra-styles \" data-block-type=\"unstyled\" data-block-weight=\"34\" data-block-id=\"7\">\n<p class=\" content-text__container \" data-track-category=\"Link no Texto\" data-track-links=\"\" data-mrf-recirculation=\"Article links\">Among the federal government\u2019s revenue sources in the oil and gas sector are royalties, special participation (on large fields), dividends, sales of oil from production-sharing in the pre-salt, and signature bonuses in area auctions.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"mc-column content-text active-extra-styles \" data-block-type=\"unstyled\" data-block-weight=\"41\" data-block-id=\"8\">\n<p class=\" content-text__container \" data-track-category=\"Link no Texto\" data-track-links=\"\" data-mrf-recirculation=\"Article links\">In the case of royalties, the National Agency of Petroleum, Natural Gas and Biofuels (ANP) estimates revenue of R$89.61 billion in 2026, considering a Brent barrel price of $95.64. Of this total, the federal government is expected to retain R$36.07 billion.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"mc-column content-text active-extra-styles \" data-block-type=\"unstyled\" data-block-weight=\"30\" data-block-id=\"9\">\n<p class=\" content-text__container \" data-track-category=\"Link no Texto\" data-track-links=\"\" data-mrf-recirculation=\"Article links\">This year, the ANP is expected to conduct an auction for the concession of 495 onshore and offshore oil and gas blocks. The highest bid for the signature bonus wins.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"mc-column content-text active-extra-styles \" data-block-type=\"unstyled\" data-block-weight=\"49\" data-block-id=\"10\">\n<p class=\" content-text__container \" data-track-category=\"Link no Texto\" data-track-links=\"\" data-mrf-recirculation=\"Article links\">Another revenue source is the sale of pre-salt oil. Between 2018 and 2025, the federal government raised R$43.75 billion, according to Pr\u00e9-Sal Petr\u00f3leo (PPSA), which manages production-sharing contracts. The state-owned company estimates revenue of R$24.14 billion in 2026 from pre-salt oil sales from past and upcoming auctions this year.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"mc-column content-text active-extra-styles \" data-block-type=\"unstyled\" data-block-weight=\"44\" data-block-id=\"11\">\n<p class=\" content-text__container \" data-track-category=\"Link no Texto\" data-track-links=\"\" data-mrf-recirculation=\"Article links\">PPSA is expected to auction 106.5 million barrels from six pre-salt areas in July. The expectation is that most of the load will be delivered in 2027, except for the Bacalhau field, which may occur in August this year\u2014payments are made upon oil delivery.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"mc-column content-text active-extra-styles \" data-block-type=\"unstyled\" data-block-weight=\"58\" data-block-id=\"12\">\n<p class=\" content-text__container \" data-track-category=\"Link no Texto\" data-track-links=\"\" data-mrf-recirculation=\"Article links\">According to an industry source, if the government\u2019s proposal is approved, it will have more effects downstream but is not expected to affect oil and fuel producers. The industry\u2019s main concern, the source says, is the inclusion of the oil export tax in this equation. The tax is under judicial discussion between foreign oil companies and the government.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"mc-column content-text active-extra-styles \" data-block-type=\"unstyled\" data-block-weight=\"35\" data-block-id=\"14\">\n<p class=\" content-text__container \" data-track-category=\"Link no Texto\" data-track-links=\"\" data-mrf-recirculation=\"Article links\">\u201cThere\u2019s no need to include an additional tax [the export tax]. Revenue from royalties and special participation is sufficient to offset tax exemptions. The export tax has a clear revenue-raising objective, which should not happen.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"mc-column content-text active-extra-styles \" data-block-type=\"unstyled\" data-block-weight=\"39\" data-block-id=\"15\">\n<p class=\" content-text__container \" data-track-category=\"Link no Texto\" data-track-links=\"\" data-mrf-recirculation=\"Article links\">Former ANP director and consultant David Zylberstajn believes the uncertainty regarding compensation lies in the National Congress\u2019s receptivity to the measure. \u201cIn my opinion, the big question mark is what kind of amendments or discussions might arise,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"mc-column content-text active-extra-styles \" data-block-type=\"unstyled\" data-block-weight=\"36\" data-block-id=\"16\">\n<p class=\" content-text__container \" data-track-category=\"Link no Texto\" data-track-links=\"\" data-mrf-recirculation=\"Article links\">He emphasizes that diesel is used in agribusiness, freight, and passenger transport. Meanwhile, there are alternatives to gasoline that can reduce price pressures for the end consumer, which is not the case with diesel, Zylberstajn noted.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"mc-column content-text active-extra-styles \" data-block-type=\"unstyled\" data-block-weight=\"67\" data-block-id=\"17\">\n<p class=\" content-text__container \" data-track-category=\"Link no Texto\" data-track-links=\"\" data-mrf-recirculation=\"Article links\">Evaristo Pinheiro, president of Refina Brasil, an association of private refineries, highlighted that the measures do not directly impact refineries, but the entity has been urging the government to reduce to zero PIS\/Cofins for crude oil used in refining, as it did with diesel. According to him, when oil products have taxes cut to zero and crude oil does not, there is an accumulation of tax credits.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div data-track-category=\"multicontent\" data-track-action=\"ultimo chunk conteudo\" data-track-noninteraction=\"false\" data-track-scroll=\"view\">\n<div class=\"mc-column content-text active-extra-styles \" data-block-type=\"unstyled\" data-block-weight=\"48\" data-block-id=\"18\">\n<p class=\" content-text__container \" data-track-category=\"Link no Texto\" data-track-links=\"\" data-mrf-recirculation=\"Article links\">\u201cIf I can\u2019t pass on a higher price, I\u2019m forced to reduce production,\u201d said Pinheiro. According to him, private refineries accumulate R$50 million per month in tax credits on diesel and jet fuel (QAV). The amount could exceed R$230 million per month if gasoline is exempt from PIS\/Cofins.<\/p>\n<p data-track-category=\"Link no Texto\" data-track-links=\"\" data-mrf-recirculation=\"Article links\">*By\u00a0F\u00e1bio Couto\u00a0and\u00a0Kariny Leal\u00a0\u2014 Rio de Janeiro<\/p>\n<p data-track-category=\"Link no Texto\" data-track-links=\"\" data-mrf-recirculation=\"Article links\">Source: Valor International<\/p>\n<p>https:\/\/valorinternational.globo.com\/<\/p>\n<p data-track-category=\"Link no Texto\" data-track-links=\"\" data-mrf-recirculation=\"Article links\">\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Due to its dependence on proceedings in Congress, there are still doubts about the extent of measure, experts say 04\/27\/2026\u00a0 The supplementary bill (PLP) that allows the federal government to use extra oil revenues to offset tax reductions on fuel could effectively prevent larger price hikes during periods of high volatility, experts in the sector [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[8106],"tags":[26883,26882],"class_list":["post-98313","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-murray-news","tag-about-plan-to-mitigate-fuel-price-hikes","tag-experts-concerned"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.0 - 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