{"id":95500,"date":"2025-08-26T17:41:28","date_gmt":"2025-08-26T20:41:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/murray.adv.br\/?p=95500"},"modified":"2025-08-26T17:41:28","modified_gmt":"2025-08-26T20:41:28","slug":"brazils-mid-month-inflation-gauge-shows-first-monthly-drop-in-a-year","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/murray.adv.br\/en\/brazils-mid-month-inflation-gauge-shows-first-monthly-drop-in-a-year\/","title":{"rendered":"Brazil\u2019s mid-month inflation gauge shows first monthly drop in a year"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Consumer prices fall 0.14% in August; 12-month rate eases to 4.95%<\/strong><\/em><\/h6>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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08\/26\/2025\u00a0<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/section>\n

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Brazil\u2019s IPCA-15 consumer price index fell 0.14% in August, reversing July\u2019s 0.33% increase, the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE) reported Tuesday (26). It was the first monthly decline since July 2023, when the index slipped 0.07%. In August 2024, the gauge had risen 0.19%.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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The IPCA-15 is a preview of the broader IPCA inflation index. It reflects the spending patterns of households earning between one and 40 minimum wages across nine metropolitan areas, plus Bras\u00edlia and Goi\u00e2nia. The main difference from the full IPCA is the data collection period and geographic coverage.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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The result came in slightly above market expectations. A Valor Data survey of 22 consultancies and financial institutions projected a 0.22% drop, with forecasts ranging from a 0.28% decrease to a 0.09% gain.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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Over 12 months, inflation slowed to 4.95% from 5.3% in July. The rate had stayed above 5% for five straight months, starting in March, when it reached 5.26%. Analysts had expected 4.88%, with estimates ranging from 4.80% to 5.26%.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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The Central Bank\u2019s target for 2025 is 3%, with a tolerance band of 1.5 percentage points in either direction.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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Among the nine spending categories that make up the IPCA-15, household goods and clothing shifted back to positive territory, moving from -0.02% to 0.03% and from -0.10% to 0.17%, respectively. Health and personal care rose more sharply, from 0.25% to 0.64%, while personal expenses jumped from 0.25% to 1.09% and education from 0% to 0.78%.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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Food and beverages fell more steeply, from -0.06% to -0.53%, while housing moved from a 0.98% gain to a 1.13% drop. Transportation and communication also turned negative, falling 0.47% and 0.17%, respectively.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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Diffusion index<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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Price increases were more widespread in August. The diffusion index\u2014which measures the share of items registering price gains\u2014rose to 57.2% from 51.2% in July, according to Valor Data. Excluding food, often one of the most volatile components, the index jumped to 64.9% from 51.2%.<\/p>\n

*By\u00a0Lucianne Carneiro\u00a0\u2014 Rio de Janeiro<\/p>\n

Source: Valor International<\/p>\n

https:\/\/valorinternational.globo.com\/<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Consumer prices fall 0.14% in August; 12-month rate eases to 4.95%       08\/26\/2025\u00a0 Brazil\u2019s IPCA-15 consumer price index fell 0.14% in August, reversing July\u2019s 0.33% increase, the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE) reported Tuesday (26). It was the first monthly decline since July 2023, when the index slipped 0.07%. 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