{"id":94936,"date":"2025-07-17T17:30:12","date_gmt":"2025-07-17T20:30:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/murray.adv.br\/?p=94936"},"modified":"2025-07-17T17:31:02","modified_gmt":"2025-07-17T20:31:02","slug":"brazil-faces-hurdles-replacing-russian-diesel-supply","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/murray.adv.br\/en\/brazil-faces-hurdles-replacing-russian-diesel-supply\/","title":{"rendered":"Brazil faces hurdles replacing Russian diesel supply"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Russia became top supplier in 2023, offering discounted fuel<\/em><\/strong><\/h6>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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07\/17\/2025<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/section>\n

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Brazil could struggle to find alternative diesel suppliers if the United States imposes new sanctions on Russia, experts told\u00a0Valor<\/strong>. Russia has been the country\u2019s leading diesel source since 2023, offering the fuel at discounted prices amid international trade restrictions.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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On Tuesday (15), NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte warned that countries such as Brazil, China, and India could be affected by secondary sanctions threatened by U.S. President Donald Trump. The proposed measure would impose 100% tariffs on nations buying from Russia, unless Russian President Vladimir Putin agrees to a peace deal in Ukraine within 50 days.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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From January to June, Russia was Brazil\u2019s top diesel supplier, accounting for $2.5 billion in exports, according to data from Brazil\u2019s Ministry of Development, Industry, and Foreign Trade (MDIC). The United States ranked second, with $1 billion. Currently, domestic production meets 70% of Brazil\u2019s diesel demand, with the remaining 30% filled through imports.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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According to Felipe Perez, an analyst at S&P, Brazil would face difficulties sourcing diesel elsewhere amid already tight global inventories. \u201cIf tariffs are extended to fuels, U.S. diesel will become less competitive for Brazil. India could be an option, but it is also a major importer of Russian diesel and could be subject to the same sanctions,\u201d he said. Mr. Perez said Nigeria and Middle Eastern countries remain potential suppliers, though high freight costs and limited volumes could make them less viable.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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Russia emerged as a key player in Brazil\u2019s diesel imports in 2023, after Western sanctions over the war in Ukraine shut the country out of its traditional markets. To attract new buyers, Russia offered discounted fuel, prompting increased purchases by Brazil, India, and China.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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That same year, Moscow temporarily halted diesel and gasoline exports to contain domestic price spikes, as crude oil prices neared $100 per barrel. The short-lived export ban heightened global concerns over the reliability of Russian supply, which is rarely governed by long-term contracts.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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According to MDIC, Brazil set a record in 2023 by importing $4.5 billion in diesel from Russia. That trend has continued into 2024, with Russian diesel purchases totaling $5.4 billion\u2014well ahead of the $1.4 billion in imports from the U.S. For comparison, in 2022, Russian diesel accounted for just $95 million in Brazilian imports, ranking Russia eighth among suppliers. That year, the U.S. led the list, with $8 billion in sales.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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Sergio Araujo, president of the Brazilian Association of Fuel Importers (ABICOM), said Brazil will likely face a challenge in finding an alternative supplier that can meet its needs. The situation would worsen, he said, if sanctions also affect China and India, creating global demand that outpaces supply. \u201cThat scenario would shake up the market. The U.S. could be an alternative, but I\u2019m not sure U.S. refineries have the capacity to scale up production enough,\u201d said Mr. Araujo. \u201cIf global supply falls short, prices will surge, adding pressure to inflation.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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ABICOM members importing Russian diesel are waiting to see if Mr. Trump\u2019s threats materialize. According to an industry source, most Russian diesel buyers in Brazil are independent operators.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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Asked for comment, Acelen, the owner of the Mataripe refinery in Bahia, said it does not purchase Russian diesel. Ra\u00edzen declined to comment, while Vibra did not reply to\u00a0Valor<\/strong>\u2019s request for comment.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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Petrobras also said it does not buy crude oil or refined products from Russia. In a statement, the state-run company said diesel imports are driven by market conditions. \u201cPetrobras\u2019s global operations, through its international trading subsidiaries, allow it to import from a range of suppliers, primarily from the U.S., India, and the Persian Gulf region.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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Thiago Vetter, an analyst at StoneX, sees NATO putting pressure on Brazil and other nations, but said the likelihood of sanctions being enforced remains low. \u201cI consider the chance of secondary tariffs on Russian buyers remote, given the importance of these markets to the U.S. economy,\u201d he said. In his view, even if Russian diesel were cut off, there is little risk of a fuel shortage in Brazil. Companies could replace Russian diesel, but it would come at a higher cost, he added.<\/p>\n

*By Kariny Leal\u00a0\u00a0\u2014 Rio de Janeiro<\/p>\n

Source: Valor International<\/p>\n

https:\/\/valorinternational.globo.com\/<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Russia became top supplier in 2023, offering discounted fuel       07\/17\/2025 Brazil could struggle to find alternative diesel suppliers if the United States imposes new sanctions on Russia, experts told\u00a0Valor. Russia has been the country\u2019s leading diesel source since 2023, offering the fuel at discounted prices amid international trade restrictions. 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