{"id":94520,"date":"2025-06-10T22:02:13","date_gmt":"2025-06-11T01:02:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/murray.adv.br\/?p=94520"},"modified":"2025-06-10T22:02:13","modified_gmt":"2025-06-11T01:02:13","slug":"brazil-inflation-slows-to-0-26-in-may-below-market-forecasts","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/murray.adv.br\/en\/brazil-inflation-slows-to-0-26-in-may-below-market-forecasts\/","title":{"rendered":"Brazil inflation slows to 0.26% in May, below market forecasts"},"content":{"rendered":"<section class=\"content--header\">\n<div class=\"row content-head featured \">\n<div class=\"medium-centered subtitle\">\n<h6 class=\"content-head__subtitle\" style=\"text-align: center\"><strong><em>Consumer prices index is up 5.32% in 12 months<\/em><\/strong><\/h6>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"content__signa-share\">\n<div class=\"content__signature\">\n<div class=\"content-publication-data\">\n<div class=\"content-publication-data__text\">\n<div class=\"content-publication-data__from\"><\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p class=\"content-publication-data__updated\">06\/10\/2025\u00a0<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"content__share-bar-container\">\n<div class=\"content__share-bar\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"row medium-uncollapsed content-top-image\" data-block-type=\"featured-image\" data-block-id=\"0\">\n<div class=\"column medium-centered medium-22 large-20 desktop \">\n<figure class=\"content-featured-figure\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"content-featured-image aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/s2-valorinternational.glbimg.com\/BOV1VEVkCLCOVCdNekszFEGqiDM=\/0x0:5184x3456\/888x0\/smart\/filters:strip_icc()\/i.s3.glbimg.com\/v1\/AUTH_63b422c2caee4269b8b34177e8876b93\/internal_photos\/bs\/2024\/8\/8\/12fJx2QDyGD1RH4FQBpw\/realdinheiro-moeda-1310202267.jpg\" alt=\"Brazil inflation slows to 0.26% in May, below market forecasts\" width=\"5184\" height=\"3456\" \/><figcaption class=\"content-featured-caption\"><em>Brazil inflation slows to 0.26% in May, below market forecasts \u2014 Photo: Marcello Casal Jr\/Ag\u00eancia Brasil<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/section>\n<div id=\"mc-article-body\" class=\"mc-article-body \">\n<article>\n<div class=\"no-paywall\">\n<div class=\"mc-column content-text active-extra-styles active-capital-letter\" data-block-type=\"unstyled\" data-block-weight=\"37\" data-block-id=\"1\">\n<p class=\" content-text__container theme-color-primary-first-letter\" data-track-category=\"Link no Texto\" data-track-links=\"\" data-mrf-recirculation=\"Article links\">Brazil\u2019s official inflation rate slowed to 0.26% in May, down from 0.43% in April, marking the lowest reading for the month since 2023, when it reached 0.23%, according to the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"wall protected-content\">\n<div class=\"mc-column content-text active-extra-styles \" data-block-type=\"unstyled\" data-block-weight=\"40\" data-block-id=\"2\">\n<p class=\" content-text__container \" data-track-category=\"Link no Texto\" data-track-links=\"\" data-mrf-recirculation=\"Article links\">The result came in well below the median forecast of 0.34% from 30 financial institutions and consultancies surveyed by Valor Data, Valor\u2019s financial data provider. It also undershot the lowest estimate in the range, which spanned from 0.29% to 0.43%.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"mc-column content-text active-extra-styles \" data-block-type=\"unstyled\" data-block-weight=\"42\" data-block-id=\"3\">\n<p class=\" content-text__container \" data-track-category=\"Link no Texto\" data-track-links=\"\" data-mrf-recirculation=\"Article links\">Over the 12 months through May, the Broad Consumer Price Index (IPCA) rose 5.32%, compared with 5.53% in the 12 months through April. Market expectations compiled by Valor Data had pointed to a 5.40% increase, with projections ranging from 5.35% to 5.51%.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"mc-column content-text active-extra-styles \" data-block-type=\"unstyled\" data-block-weight=\"47\" data-block-id=\"4\">\n<p class=\" content-text__container \" data-track-category=\"Link no Texto\" data-track-links=\"\" data-mrf-recirculation=\"Article links\">Despite the slowdown, the 12-month inflation rate remains above the upper limit of the target range set by the National Monetary Council (CMN) and pursued by Brazil\u2019s Central Bank. The inflation target for 2025 is 3%, with a tolerance margin of 1.5 percentage points in either direction.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"mc-column content-text active-extra-styles \" data-block-type=\"unstyled\" data-block-weight=\"50\" data-block-id=\"5\">\n<p class=\" content-text__container \" data-track-category=\"Link no Texto\" data-track-links=\"\" data-mrf-recirculation=\"Article links\">Among the nine expenditure groups that make up the IPCA, five posted slower increases from April to May: food and beverages (from 0.82% to 0.17%), apparel (from 1.02% to 0.41%), health and personal care (from 1.18% to 0.54%), personal expenses (from 0.54% to 0.35%) and communication (from 0.69% to 0.07%).<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"mc-column content-text active-extra-styles \" data-block-type=\"unstyled\" data-block-weight=\"39\" data-block-id=\"6\">\n<p class=\" content-text__container \" data-track-category=\"Link no Texto\" data-track-links=\"\" data-mrf-recirculation=\"Article links\">Household goods shifted into deflation, with prices falling 0.27% after rising 0.53% in April. Housing costs accelerated from 0.14% to 1.19%. Education maintained a steady pace at 0.05%, while transportation continued in deflationary territory, moving from -0.38% to -0.37%.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"mc-column content-text active-extra-styles \" data-block-type=\"unstyled\" data-block-weight=\"43\" data-block-id=\"7\">\n<p class=\" content-text__container \" data-track-category=\"Link no Texto\" data-track-links=\"\" data-mrf-recirculation=\"Article links\">The Brazilian statistics agency calculates the IPCA based on the consumption patterns of households earning between one and 40 times the minimum wage, covering 10 metropolitan regions as well as the cities of Goi\u00e2nia, Campo Grande, Rio Branco, S\u00e3o Lu\u00eds, Aracaju, and Bras\u00edlia.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"mc-column content-text active-extra-styles \" data-block-type=\"unstyled\" data-block-weight=\"3\" data-block-id=\"8\">\n<p class=\" content-text__container \" data-track-category=\"Link no Texto\" data-track-links=\"\" data-mrf-recirculation=\"Article links\"><strong>Less widespread increases<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"mc-column content-text active-extra-styles \" data-block-type=\"unstyled\" data-block-weight=\"44\" data-block-id=\"9\">\n<p class=\" content-text__container \" data-track-category=\"Link no Texto\" data-track-links=\"\" data-mrf-recirculation=\"Article links\">Inflation was less widespread in May, with the diffusion index\u2014which measures the share of goods and services that recorded price increases\u2014falling to 59.7%, from 66.8% in April, according to Valor Data. Excluding food, a particularly volatile component, the index dropped to 59.8% from 64.1%.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"mc-column content-text active-extra-styles \" data-block-type=\"unstyled\" data-block-weight=\"2\" data-block-id=\"10\">\n<p class=\" content-text__container \" data-track-category=\"Link no Texto\" data-track-links=\"\" data-mrf-recirculation=\"Article links\"><strong>Core inflation<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div data-track-category=\"multicontent\" data-track-action=\"ultimo chunk conteudo\" data-track-noninteraction=\"false\" data-track-scroll=\"view\">\n<div class=\"mc-column content-text active-extra-styles \" data-block-type=\"unstyled\" data-block-weight=\"44\" data-block-id=\"11\">\n<p class=\" content-text__container \" data-track-category=\"Link no Texto\" data-track-links=\"\" data-mrf-recirculation=\"Article links\">The average of five core inflation measures monitored by the Central Bank eased to 0.30% in May from 0.50% in April, based on estimates from MCM Consultores. Over the past 12 months, the average of these core indicators edged down to 5.17%, from 5.26%.<\/p>\n<p data-track-category=\"Link no Texto\" data-track-links=\"\" data-mrf-recirculation=\"Article links\">*By\u00a0Lucianne Carneiro\u00a0\u2014 Rio de Janeiro<\/p>\n<p data-track-category=\"Link no Texto\" data-track-links=\"\" data-mrf-recirculation=\"Article links\">Source: Valor International<\/p>\n<p>https:\/\/valorinternational.globo.com\/<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Consumer prices index is up 5.32% in 12 months &nbsp; &nbsp; 06\/10\/2025\u00a0 Brazil inflation slows to 0.26% in May, below market forecasts \u2014 Photo: Marcello Casal Jr\/Ag\u00eancia Brasil Brazil\u2019s official inflation rate slowed to 0.26% in May, down from 0.43% in April, marking the lowest reading for the month since 2023, when it reached 0.23%, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[8106],"tags":[26168,26167],"class_list":["post-94520","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-murray-news","tag-below-market-forecasts","tag-brazil-inflation-slows-in-may"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.0 - 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