{"id":91900,"date":"2024-11-20T19:26:36","date_gmt":"2024-11-20T22:26:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/murray.adv.br\/?p=91900"},"modified":"2024-11-20T19:26:37","modified_gmt":"2024-11-20T22:26:37","slug":"trumps-return-casts-uncertainty-over-g20-following-advances-in-rio","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/murray.adv.br\/en\/trumps-return-casts-uncertainty-over-g20-following-advances-in-rio\/","title":{"rendered":"Trump\u2019s return casts uncertainty over G20 following advances in Rio"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
U.S. president-elect may hinder discussions and stall measures, reinforcing dissenting positions like Javier Milei\u2019s<\/strong><\/em><\/h6>\n\n\n\n

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11\/20\/2024 <\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Following Brazil\u2019s advancements during its rotating presidency of the G20<\/a>, the summit of leaders from the world\u2019s largest economies faces a period of uncertainties starting in 2025, with Donald Trump<\/strong> assuming office in the United States. Mr. Trump, a critic of multilateralism, signals potential challenges for the group. That was evident in Rio de Janeiro, where Argentine President Javier Milei<\/strong>, an ally of Mr. Trump, made clear his disagreement with several points of the G20\u2019s consensus final declaration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

These challenges are expected to arise at the next meeting in South Africa, during Mr. Trump\u2019s first year in office.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cThe feeling is that nothing will be the same. Trump\u2019s return will have an unimaginable impact,\u201d a Brazilian diplomat said. Another negotiator added, \u201cIt\u2019s one thing for the United States, China, or Russia to come to the G20 ready to disrupt the declaration; it\u2019s another for Argentina. They [Argentina] cannot handle the consequences alone. With U.S. support, the situation changes.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Buoyed by a decisive electoral victory, with more global experience and no reelection on the horizon, Mr. Trump aims to shake up international relations. Not only will he be in the White House for the next G20 summit, but he will also chair the group in 2026. Some in Brazil\u2019s Foreign Affairs Ministry fear that Rio may have witnessed the last \u201cproductive\u201d gathering of the world\u2019s major economies, despite Mr. Milei\u2019s presence.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In Argentina, President Milei\u2019s ultraliberal moves are seen as gestures to his electorate rather than genuine threats to disrupt Brazil\u2019s G20 agenda. His repeated \u201cdo not count on us\u201d statements<\/a> led to diplomatic friction with most group members, especially with the main European economic powers, Germany and France.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Mr. Milei\u2019s speech at the plenary of heads of state on Monday (18) was met with sparse applause and criticism, such as from Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau<\/strong>. After making his point, Mr. Milei withdrew his veto threats and agreed to the summit\u2019s final declaration, preserving the G20\u2019s consensus legitimacy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The outcome was positive for Brazilian diplomacy and was celebrated by key global leaders. Shortly after the text\u2019s unexpected release on the first day of meetings, European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen<\/strong> congratulated President Lula<\/strong> for successfully addressing \u201cone of the world\u2019s most urgent issues.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In his closing message at the summit, President Lula stated that the G20 can and must do more. \u201cWe have worked diligently, aware that we have only scratched the surface of the profound challenges facing the world,\u201d the Brazilian leader said as he handed the group\u2019s presidency to South African President Cyril Ramaphosa<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

By releasing the final declaration on the summit\u2019s first day, Brazil employed a strategy to shield the agreed text from last-minute amendment requests. Brazilian diplomats kept the dialogue at the sherpa level (country negotiators) to avoid \u201copening the Pandora\u2019s box\u201d among heads of state.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The reading is that renegotiating the text at the president and prime minister level would be even more challenging than the already complex discussions among negotiators. The sherpas spent the week in a hotel, working through the nights to reach consensuses that involved intricate details such as word and comma changes in the declaration paragraphs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In Argentina\u2019s case, the solution involved Mr. Milei\u2019s verbal remarks, followed by a statement from the Casa Rosada outlining his points of disagreement, such as gender equality declarations, super-rich taxation, and climate change action goals. \u201cWithout obstructing the declaration of other leaders, President Javier Milei made it clear at the G20 that he does not support several points of the declaration, including promoting limitations on free speech on social media, schemes that impose and undermine the sovereignty of global governance institutions, and unequal treatment before the law,\u201d the statement read.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Diplomats argue that a country aiming to block a document as significant as a G20 declaration should have at least one of two attributes: sufficient size or a highly important and undeniable cause. For various reasons, the United States, China, and Russia, for example, can undertake such an endeavor. For Argentina, that would be nearly impossible.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

For this reason, diplomats anticipate a significant shift in the multilateral world. An outspoken opponent of multilateralism, Mr. Trump has announced plans to exit the Paris Agreement again and intends to maximize the \u201cAmerica First\u201d agenda. Whether benefiting from this agenda or not, Mr. Milei promises to follow the same path and fulfill what he threatened to do in Rio.\u00a0He even stayed out of the traditional photo with the group\u2019s heads of state<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

*By Murillo Camarotto, Paula Martini, Camila Zarur, Andrea Jub\u00e9, Lucianne Carneiro, Estev\u00e3o Taiar \u2014 Rio de Janeiro<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Source: Valor International<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\nhttps:\/\/valorinternational.globo.com\/\n<\/div><\/figure>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

U.S. president-elect may hinder discussions and stall measures, reinforcing dissenting positions like Javier Milei\u2019s 11\/20\/2024 Following Brazil\u2019s advancements during its rotating presidency of the G20, the summit of leaders from the world\u2019s largest economies faces a period of uncertainties starting in 2025, with Donald Trump assuming office in the United States. Mr. Trump, a critic of multilateralism, signals […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[8106],"tags":[25645,25646],"class_list":["post-91900","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-murray-news","tag-g20-2","tag-u-s-president-elect-may-hinder-discussions-and-stall-measures"],"yoast_head":"\nTrump\u2019s return casts uncertainty over G20 following advances in Rio - Murray Advogados<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/murray.adv.br\/en\/trumps-return-casts-uncertainty-over-g20-following-advances-in-rio\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Trump\u2019s return casts uncertainty over G20 following advances in Rio - Murray Advogados\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"U.S. president-elect may hinder discussions and stall measures, reinforcing dissenting positions like Javier Milei\u2019s 11\/20\/2024 Following Brazil\u2019s advancements during its rotating presidency of the G20, the summit of leaders from the world\u2019s largest economies faces a period of uncertainties starting in 2025, with Donald Trump assuming office in the United States. 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