{"id":91380,"date":"2024-10-15T20:35:05","date_gmt":"2024-10-15T23:35:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/murray.adv.br\/?p=91380"},"modified":"2024-10-15T20:35:07","modified_gmt":"2024-10-15T23:35:07","slug":"government-prepares-significant-spending-review-package","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/murray.adv.br\/en\/government-prepares-significant-spending-review-package\/","title":{"rendered":"Government prepares \u201csignificant\u201d spending review package"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h6 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-center\"><em><strong>Plan to be presented by December aims to establish measures as state policy, ensuring their continuity regardless of the administration in power<\/strong><\/em><\/h6>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>10\/15\/2024 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\" \/>\n\n\n\n<p>A \u201csignificant package\u201d of spending review measures is expected to be presented this year, an official of the economic team told Valor. The aim, the person explained, is to position these measures as state policy, meaning an effort that should continue regardless of which administration is in power.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Experts are considering announcing the measures after the municipal elections. While details of the proposed changes have not been disclosed, one criterion will be the alignment of a given expense with the fiscal framework. If the expense is incompatible, the government would face two options: change the fiscal rules or \u201cdo what needs to be done.\u201d The Finance Ministry\u2019s preference, the source said, is to uphold the framework.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>To ensure the package\u2019s approval, the plan is to appeal to both the legislative and judicial branches for a pact on the sustainability of public finances.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The measures, the person noted, are in line with a report by rating agency Moody\u2019s, which earlier this month upgraded Brazil\u2019s sovereign rating to just one notch below investment grade. The agency observed that the credibility of the fiscal framework is at a \u201cmoderate\u201d level, reflected in relatively high debt costs. However, it believes that the potential for sustainable economic growth and the adoption of measures that support compliance with the fiscal framework justify the positive outlook.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The announcement of the spending review program was first mentioned by Finance Minister Fernando Haddad at an event hosted by Ita\u00fa Unibanco on Monday (14). When asked about changes to personal income tax (IRPF), he said the proposal was not yet ready and that before presenting it, he intended to submit a spending review program to Congress.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The importance of addressing spending adjustments was echoed by incoming Central Bank President Gabriel Gal\u00edpolo at the same event.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The end of municipal elections is the target date for presenting these measures, as outlined by experts involved in the program\u2019s development. Some believe the best window for approval is at the end of this year, during the final stretch of the current Lower House speaker and Senate president\u2019s terms.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>As reported by Valor on October 8, at least one spending review measure is expected to be sent to Congress before the end of 2024. The current trend suggests a more comprehensive package will be submitted.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The government\u2019s spending review has three key pillars. The first is a detailed audit of programs such as Social Security, the Continued Payment Benefit (BPC), and unemployment insurance for fishermen. The second is the redesign of programs like the salary bonus and unemployment insurance. The third focuses on \u201cmodernizing\u201d the indexation of expenses, ensuring their growth aligns with the fiscal framework.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cSubmitting measures to curb mandatory expenses is a step toward normalizing the situation,\u201d said Alexandre Manoel, chief economist at AZ Quest. It\u2019s also an opportunity to reverse a negative trend. \u201cWe are heading towards a crisis via the credit channel.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The financial market\u2019s pessimism about public finances, which has driven future interest rates to around 13%, stems from doubts over President Lula\u2019s support for the program proposed by the economic team, Mr. Manoel said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The economic team\u2019s strategy assumes that by 2025, fiscal policy will no longer be expansionary, as it has been until now with the injection of funds into the economy. At the same time, interest rates are expected to remain high, resulting in an economic slowdown, Mr. Manoel explained.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The most pessimistic view is that the government will not tolerate this scenario and will change the fiscal framework, he said. However, submitting the review measures would signal support for the current strategy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>There is an overreaction in the current wave of market pessimism regarding fiscal policy, said Fernando Montero, chief economist at Tullet Prebon Brasil. However, he noted similarities between the evolution of public finances under the current government and during the Dilma Rousseff administration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Brazilian real gained ground against the U.S. dollar after statements from Mr. Haddad and Mr. Gal\u00edpolo. \u201cThe market is so bad right now that even narratives are affecting prices,\u201d Mr. Montero joked. \u201cAt least it\u2019s the right narrative.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For Paulo Bijos, a budget consultant for the Lower House who led the Federal Budget Secretariat until mid-year, \u201cthe spending review is the most important agenda for Brazil right now.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter is-resized\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/s2-valorinternational.glbimg.com\/VN9siO8naM3Iph64GaxxInAVwLo=\/0x0:3840x2560\/984x0\/smart\/filters:strip_icc()\/i.s3.glbimg.com\/v1\/AUTH_37554604729d4b2f9f3eb9ad8a691345\/internal_photos\/bs\/2024\/h\/b\/rD6RZLSxmiOfxpbKGtzA\/260124alexandremanoel007.jpg\" alt=\"Alexandre Manoel \u2014 Foto: Rogerio Vieira\/Valor\" style=\"width:428px;height:auto\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\"><em>Alexandre Manoel \u2014 Photo: Rogerio Vieira\/Valor<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>By Lu Aiko Otta, Guilherme Pimenta \u2014 Bras\u00edlia<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Source: Valor International<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\nhttps:\/\/valorinternational.globo.com\/\n<\/div><\/figure>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Plan to be presented by December aims to establish measures as state policy, ensuring their continuity regardless of the administration in power 10\/15\/2024 A \u201csignificant package\u201d of spending review measures is expected to be presented this year, an official of the economic team told Valor. The aim, the person explained, is to position these measures [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[8106],"tags":[25542,25541],"class_list":["post-91380","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-murray-news","tag-government-prepares","tag-significant-spending-review-package"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Government prepares \u201csignificant\u201d spending review package - Murray Advogados<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/murray.adv.br\/en\/government-prepares-significant-spending-review-package\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Government prepares \u201csignificant\u201d spending review package - Murray Advogados\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Plan to be presented by December aims to establish measures as state policy, ensuring their continuity regardless of the administration in power 10\/15\/2024 A \u201csignificant package\u201d of spending review measures is expected to be presented this year, an official of the economic team told Valor. The aim, the person explained, is to position these measures [&hellip;]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/murray.adv.br\/en\/government-prepares-significant-spending-review-package\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Murray Advogados\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2024-10-15T23:35:05+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2024-10-15T23:35:07+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/s2-valorinternational.glbimg.com\/VN9siO8naM3Iph64GaxxInAVwLo=\/0x0:3840x2560\/984x0\/smart\/filters:strip_icc()\/i.s3.glbimg.com\/v1\/AUTH_37554604729d4b2f9f3eb9ad8a691345\/internal_photos\/bs\/2024\/h\/b\/rD6RZLSxmiOfxpbKGtzA\/260124alexandremanoel007.jpg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Gelcy Bueno\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Gelcy Bueno\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"5 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/murray.adv.br\/en\/government-prepares-significant-spending-review-package\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/murray.adv.br\/en\/government-prepares-significant-spending-review-package\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Gelcy Bueno\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/murray.adv.br\/en\/#\/schema\/person\/dd0d0bea46c2436124555d18c1a0d52e\"},\"headline\":\"Government prepares \u201csignificant\u201d spending review package\",\"datePublished\":\"2024-10-15T23:35:05+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2024-10-15T23:35:07+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/murray.adv.br\/en\/government-prepares-significant-spending-review-package\/\"},\"wordCount\":768,\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/murray.adv.br\/en\/government-prepares-significant-spending-review-package\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/s2-valorinternational.glbimg.com\/VN9siO8naM3Iph64GaxxInAVwLo=\/0x0:3840x2560\/984x0\/smart\/filters:strip_icc()\/i.s3.glbimg.com\/v1\/AUTH_37554604729d4b2f9f3eb9ad8a691345\/internal_photos\/bs\/2024\/h\/b\/rD6RZLSxmiOfxpbKGtzA\/260124alexandremanoel007.jpg\",\"keywords\":[\"Government prepares\",\"\u201csignificant\u201d spending review package\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Murray News\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/murray.adv.br\/en\/government-prepares-significant-spending-review-package\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/murray.adv.br\/en\/government-prepares-significant-spending-review-package\/\",\"name\":\"Government prepares \u201csignificant\u201d spending review package - 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