{"id":88054,"date":"2024-04-09T10:59:12","date_gmt":"2024-04-09T13:59:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/murray.adv.br\/?p=88054"},"modified":"2024-04-09T10:59:16","modified_gmt":"2024-04-09T13:59:16","slug":"private-investment-fiscal-adjustment-inclusion-are-key-to-growth","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/murray.adv.br\/en\/private-investment-fiscal-adjustment-inclusion-are-key-to-growth\/","title":{"rendered":"Private investment, fiscal adjustment, inclusion are key to growth"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h6 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-center\"><em>Experts say country needs to devise a healthy business environment to attract capital<\/em><\/h6>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>04\/09\/2024 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\" \/>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter is-resized\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/s2-valorinternational.glbimg.com\/vMWdCp21AxtQPbavOGJFTYAYvW0=\/0x0:3840x2560\/984x0\/smart\/filters:strip_icc()\/i.s3.glbimg.com\/v1\/AUTH_37554604729d4b2f9f3eb9ad8a691345\/internal_photos\/bs\/2024\/K\/p\/e1RA80Tne2VArsbYf6tg\/080424rumos020.jpg\" alt=\"Dario Durigan \u2014 Foto: Ana Paula Paiva\/Valor\" style=\"width:662px;height:auto\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center\"><em>Dario Durigan \u2014 Foto: Ana Paula Paiva\/Valor<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Experts at the Rumos 2024 event, hosted by Valor at the Rosewood Hotel in S\u00e3o Paulo, said that for Brazil to achieve growth and improvement, it must focus on three key pillars: fiscal adjustment, private investment, and the inclusion and sustainability agenda. According to economists, government officials, and private-sector representatives, the country has already made progress, such as approving the tax reform. Still, it needs to create a healthy business environment to attract domestic and foreign private capital.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For example, the uncontrolled increase in public spending is often cited as a cause for concern among investors. During the event, the executive secretary of the Ministry of Finance, Dario Durigan, acknowledged that actions to reduce and improve the quality of public spending were necessary. \u201cSeeking to reduce expenses is important for the economic team,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The ministry\u2019s number two justified the beginning of the tax adjustment on the revenue side due to \u201cdistortions\u201d caused by the granting of benefits, exemptions, and other devices that reduced collection without bringing structural economic gains. \u201cWith the spending cap [the rule that limited growth in public spending to the previous year\u2019s inflation, replaced by the tax framework], there was a lock on expenses, but there was no lock on the revenue side,\u201d he said. \u201cThe special regimes, presumed credits, [tax] advantages, and loopholes were sometimes reproduced even by municipalities.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The government \u201chas been recomposing the tax base by attacking the most serious inefficient gaps.\u201d In the short term, Mr. Durigan acknowledged that, alongside adjustments, the government is counting on dividends from state-run companies to aid in the rebalancing of government accounts. \u201cThe Finance Ministry\u2019s view is that the [dividend] inflows are relevant from a fiscal point of view, but this should happen with the appropriate dialogue.\u201d According to Mr. Durigan, \u201c[Finance] Minister Fernando Haddad does not deny and I do not deny that it is important to have these revenues.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In the long term, the secretary believes that fiscal adjustment will be achieved through the tax reform itself. \u201cFiscal consolidation was set in motion last year and we now see good results at the beginning of 2024. However, it is an agenda that over time will be fulfilled by tax reform, which will bring about the most comprehensive reorganization of our tax system.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>During another panel, Marcos Barbosa Pinto, the secretary of economic reforms at the Ministry of Finance, discussed a series of measures spearheaded by the ministry. These are initiatives to reduce the net interest rate spread (the difference between the funding rate and the banks\u2019 lending rate). The secretary referenced a study conducted by the Central Bank, which indicates that if Brazil had a spread equivalent to the global average of 6% per year, it would experience a 40% increase in credit availability and a 5% rise in GDP.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cIn the long term, we have an important goal,\u201d he said. Brazil has a spread of around 20% per year. \u201cWe can reduce it,\u201d said the secretary. \u201cBrazil has the conditions to unlock a gigantic credit volume and very large growth.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Mr. Durigan added that the economic team has been working with a dual agenda on a long-term development vision: fiscal and ecological consolidation. \u201cTo achieve growth alongside social development and environmental responsibility, we need two distinct agendas,\u201d he said. The executive secretary said that \u201cthese issues complement each other.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Solutions to increase productivity in Brazil were also issues of debate at Rumos. Mr. Barbosa Pinto said, \u201cBrazil will not be able to grow sustainably without attacking the problem of productivity.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>He viewed this as \u201clong-term and challenging work,\u201d but he said that significant changes could be observed in the short term through measures implemented in the recent past, such as the fiduciary alienation law, which significantly expanded the real estate credit market. Mr. Barbosa Pinto mentioned the approval of the new guarantee framework last year, which is expected to decrease financing costs and speed up the recovery of assets pledged as collateral in contracts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Economists Silvia Matos, coordinator of the Macro Bulletin at the Brazilian Institute of Economics (FGV Ibre), and Cassiana Fernandez, head of economic research for Latin America and chief economist for Brazil at J.P. Morgan, suggested that the structural reforms could potentially have positive effects on productivity. \u201cSomething that surprised us was the positive effects of the labor reform,\u201d said Ms. Matos. \u201cThe post-pandemic recovery was different. It came specially with formal employment.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>According to Ms. Fernandez of J.P. Morgan, the bank\u2019s models also point to a potential growth of Brazil closer to 1.5% per year. The economist said she had \u201cgreat confidence\u201d in the effects that consumer spending tax reform could have on productivity going forward.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Santander\u2019s chief economist and former Treasury secretary Ana Paula Vescovi assessed the need to reduce credit costs in Brazil to accelerate growth. \u201cIt is necessary to reduce the cost of finances and make room for the private sector to play its role,\u201d she said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ms. Vescovi emphasized the importance of the country being able to devise \u201ca healthy business environment with legal certainty.\u201d The economist said she often talks with international investors \u201cwho look at Brazil and see the comparative advantages we have at this time of energy transition.\u201d However, issues such as the governance of state-run companies and the tax reform process itself, which still needs to be regulated by Congress, end up inspiring caution.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>*Por Ana\u00efs Fernandes, Marcelo Osakabe, S\u00e9rgio Tauhata, Ta\u00eds Hirata\u00a0\u2014 S\u00e3o Paulo<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Source: Valor International<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>https:\/\/valorinternational.globo.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Experts say country needs to devise a healthy business environment to attract capital 04\/09\/2024 Dario Durigan \u2014 Foto: Ana Paula Paiva\/Valor Experts at the Rumos 2024 event, hosted by Valor at the Rosewood Hotel in S\u00e3o Paulo, said that for Brazil to achieve growth and improvement, it must focus on three key pillars: fiscal adjustment, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[8106],"tags":[9486,24816],"class_list":["post-88054","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-murray-news","tag-fiscal-adjustment","tag-private-investment"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.0 - 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