{"id":100371,"date":"2026-10-26T12:52:24","date_gmt":"2026-10-26T15:52:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/murray.adv.br\/?p=100371"},"modified":"2026-10-26T12:52:24","modified_gmt":"2026-10-26T15:52:24","slug":"bolsonaro-allies-lead-in-brazils-state-elections","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/murray.adv.br\/en\/bolsonaro-allies-lead-in-brazils-state-elections\/","title":{"rendered":"Bolsonaro allies lead in Brazil\u2019s state elections"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Sixteen elected governors backed Bolsonaro\u2019s movement, but experts expect shifting alliances to preserve governability<\/strong><\/em><\/h6>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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\"Celina<\/figure>\n
Celina Le\u00e3o, backed by Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro and former first lady Michelle Bolsonaro, won reelection in the Federal District \u2014 Photo: Cristiano Mariz\/O Globo<\/em><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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Governors were elected in runoff races in five states\u2014Acre, Amazonas, Tocantins, Esp\u00edrito Santo, and Rio Grande do Norte\u2014as well as the Federal District on Sunday (Oct. 25). Two are aligned with President Luiz In\u00e1cio Lula da Silva (Workers\u2019 Party, PT)<\/strong>, who won reelection with 51.78% of the vote, while four were allies of Sen. Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro (Liberal Party, PL)<\/strong>. Including the first round, 16 of the governors elected nationwide had declared support for Bolsonaro\u2019s political movement, seven backed Lula, and four remained neutral during the campaign.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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The PL elected the largest number of governors, with six, followed by the Social Democratic Party (PSD), with five. The PT, Republicans, and Progressive Party (PP) each won four governorships. These five parties will control the state governments of 23 of Brazil\u2019s 26 states and the Federal District. Overall, Sunday\u2019s results largely confirmed the forecasts in election polls published on the eve of the vote.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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Two candidates overturned their first-round deficits. In Tocantins, federal deputy Vicentinho J\u00fanior <\/strong>(Brazilian Social Democracy Party, PSDB) defeated Professora Dorinha (Brazil Union, Uni\u00e3o Brasil), who had Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro\u2019s backing. Vicentinho finished second in the first round with 43.94% of valid votes, compared with Dorinha\u2019s 45.52%. Vicentinho is the son of former Sen. Vicentinho Alves.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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In Rio Grande do Norte, governor-elect Cadu de Lula<\/strong> (PT) also overcame his initial disadvantage, winning 50.77% of valid votes to defeat Alysson (Brazil Union), who had remained neutral in the presidential race. Cadu Xavier, who used the name Cadu de Lula on the ballot, served as finance secretary under Gov. F\u00e1tima Bezerra (PT), whom he will succeed.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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In Esp\u00edrito Santo, former Vit\u00f3ria Mayor Lorenzo<\/strong> Pazolini <\/strong>(Republicans) was elected governor, defeating Ricardo Ferra\u00e7o (Brazilian Democratic Movement, MDB) with 52.01% of the vote. Pazolini, who received Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro\u2019s endorsement, stepped down as mayor of the state capital this year to run for governor.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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In the Federal District, Gov. Celina Le\u00e3o<\/strong> (PP), backed by Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro and former first lady Michelle Bolsonaro, won reelection by defeating Leandro Grass (PT). With 98% of ballots counted, she had 57.21% of valid votes, compared with 42.79% for her opponent. She narrowly missed winning outright in the first round, falling short by just 1,089 votes.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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In Amazonas, Sen. Omar Aziz (PSD), who had Lula\u2019s backing, defeated Maria do Carmo (PL). With all polling stations reporting, Aziz received 61.42% of the vote, against 38.58% for his opponent. At 68, Aziz returns to lead the Amazonas state government after serving as governor from 2010 to 2014.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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According to political scientists, despite many governors not being aligned with Lula, neither side is expected to face major governability problems, nor is the balance of power in Congress likely to be affected. One example is Republicans, who elected governors in two of Brazil\u2019s largest electoral districts: Cleitinho Azevedo <\/strong>in Minas Gerais and Tarc\u00edsio de Freitas<\/strong> in S\u00e3o Paulo. Yet in the Chamber of Deputies, Speaker Hugo Motta continues to support the governing coalition, and the Republicans also holds cabinet posts.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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Experts expect new political coalitions and alliances to emerge, as is typical of Brazil\u2019s federal system. Andr\u00e9 Borges<\/strong>, a professor at the University of Bras\u00edlia (UnB), said that although the PL elected the most governors and has a sizable presence in both the Chamber of Deputies and the Senate, this does not give the party a free hand at either the state or federal level.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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\u201cThe PL was the big winner in the state elections, but other right-wing parties also performed well, such as Republicans. Power is not concentrated in a single party,\u201d Borges said. Politicians will still need to negotiate and build alliances, he added. He cited the PL\u2019s attempt, after the first round, to negotiate for the speakership of the Chamber of Deputies. \u201cHugo Motta has put together a coalition backed by 10 parties. Everything points to his reelection. That shows a tactical mistake on their part [the PL\u2019s], because the election was barely over when they were already telling allies they wanted the leadership of both the Chamber and the Senate. That\u2019s not how it works,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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Experts expect Lula to maintain an institutional relationship with political opponents, as he did with S\u00e3o Paulo Gov. Tarc\u00edsio de Freitas during his current term. Despite their political differences, the two worked together on the Santos-Guaruj\u00e1 Tunnel, Brazil\u2019s first immersed-tube tunnel, through a public-private partnership (PPP). \u201cThere was no boycott or anything of the sort; the money was transferred,\u201d said Claudio Couto<\/strong>, a professor at Funda\u00e7\u00e3o Getulio Vargas (FGV).<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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Couto expects that pattern to continue. \u201cIf we look at Lula\u2019s third term, with the far right already in power in some states, he has sought to maintain institutional relations. We saw that in his dealings with Tarc\u00edsio de Freitas and even [Ronaldo] Caiado, who took a very hard line on public security. There were disagreements, but no major clashes. I believe we will see the same pattern again,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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Political scientists note that campaign endorsements can be fragile and may shift after an election. During former President Jair Bolsonaro\u2019s administration, for example, Bolsonaro\u2014who is in prison after being convicted in a coup plot\u2014broke with then-S\u00e3o Paulo Gov. Jo\u00e3o Doria (PSDB) and then-Rio de Janeiro Gov. Wilson Witzel (Social Christian Party, PSC). In addition, governors, particularly those of Brazil\u2019s largest states, are \u201cnatural potential presidential candidates,\u201d Borges noted, creating another incentive for political rifts.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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Experts acknowledge, however, that political alignment can help during campaigns and may influence the ability to attract investment once a governor takes office. \u201cAlignment does have an effect, but less so today than in the past because social policies have become much more decentralized. Thirty years ago, before the creation of Fundef and Fundeb, the states played an intermediary role. Today, many programs transfer funds directly to municipalities based on more universal criteria, reducing the room for political bargaining,\u201d Borges said.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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Borges said two state-level candidates stood out: Pernambuco Gov. Raquel Lyra, who won reelection despite remaining neutral in the national campaign and defeating Jo\u00e3o Campos (Brazilian Socialist Party, PSB), the former mayor of Recife who had Lula\u2019s support; and Cleitinho Azevedo (Republicans), who won the Minas Gerais governorship in the first round with 55.40% of the vote.<\/p>\n

*By\u00a0Marcela Villar and Guilherme Carvalho\u00a0\u2014 S\u00e3o Paulo<\/p>\n

Source: Valor International<\/p>\n

https:\/\/valorinternational.globo.com\/<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Sixteen elected governors backed Bolsonaro\u2019s movement, but experts expect shifting alliances to preserve governability           10\/26\/2026 Celina Le\u00e3o, backed by Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro and former first lady Michelle Bolsonaro, won reelection in the Federal District \u2014 Photo: Cristiano Mariz\/O Globo Governors were elected in runoff races in five states\u2014Acre, Amazonas, Tocantins, Esp\u00edrito […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[8106],"tags":[27210],"class_list":["post-100371","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-murray-news","tag-bolsonaro-allies-lead-in-brazils-state-elections"],"yoast_head":"\nBolsonaro allies lead in Brazil\u2019s state elections - Murray Advogados<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/murray.adv.br\/en\/bolsonaro-allies-lead-in-brazils-state-elections\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Bolsonaro allies lead in Brazil\u2019s state elections - 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