{"id":100211,"date":"2026-10-06T15:05:38","date_gmt":"2026-10-06T18:05:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/murray.adv.br\/?p=100211"},"modified":"2026-10-06T15:05:38","modified_gmt":"2026-10-06T18:05:38","slug":"justices-waver-between-pessimism-and-caution-on-impeachment-risk","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/murray.adv.br\/en\/justices-waver-between-pessimism-and-caution-on-impeachment-risk\/","title":{"rendered":"Justices waver between pessimism and caution on impeachment risk"},"content":{"rendered":"<section class=\"content--header\">\n<div class=\"row content-head featured \">\n<div class=\"medium-centered subtitle\">\n<h6 class=\"content-head__subtitle\" style=\"text-align: center\"><em>New Senate lineup puts members of the court on alert as Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro and his allies vow to remove justices<\/em><\/h6>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"content__signa-share\">\n<div class=\"content__signature\">\n<div class=\"content-publication-data\">\n<div class=\"content-publication-data__text\">\n<div class=\"content-publication-data__from\"><\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p class=\"content-publication-data__updated\"><time datetime=\"2026-10-06T13:28:11.708-03:00\">10\/06\/2026\u00a0<\/time><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"content__share-bar-container\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"row medium-uncollapsed content-top-image\" data-block-type=\"featured-image\" data-block-id=\"0\">\n<div class=\"column medium-centered medium-22 large-20 desktop \" style=\"text-align: center\">\n<figure class=\"content-featured-figure\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"content-featured-image aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/s2-valorinternational.glbimg.com\/xEtQkge_UQ9-pUPPXXc-_qcsjOU=\/0x0:2048x1366\/888x0\/smart\/filters:strip_icc()\/i.s3.glbimg.com\/v1\/AUTH_63b422c2caee4269b8b34177e8876b93\/internal_photos\/bs\/2026\/t\/m\/uDT7pCSbA3r4jd953EKw\/55546886234-a75588d348-k.jpg\" alt=\"From left to right: justices Alexandre de Moraes, Gilmar Mendes, Fl\u00e1vio Dino, Andr\u00e9 Mendon\u00e7a, and Dias Toffoli\" width=\"521\" height=\"347\" \/><figcaption class=\"content-featured-caption\"><em>From left to right: justices Alexandre de Moraes, Gilmar Mendes, Fl\u00e1vio Dino, Andr\u00e9 Mendon\u00e7a, and Dias Toffoli \u2014 Photo: Antonio Augusto\/STF<\/em><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/section>\n<div id=\"mc-article-body\" class=\"mc-article-body ready cropped\">\n<article>\n<div class=\"no-paywall\">\n<div class=\"mc-column mc-side-item__container\" data-block-type=\"ads\" data-block-id=\"1\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"mc-column content-text active-extra-styles active-capital-letter\" data-block-type=\"unstyled\" data-block-weight=\"59\" data-block-id=\"2\">\n<p class=\" content-text__container theme-color-primary-first-letter\" data-track-category=\"Link no Texto\" data-track-links=\"\">Supreme Court justices consulted by<strong> Valor <\/strong>are divided over whether the new Senate lineup elected in the first round will immediately translate into impeachment proceedings against members of the court. Views range from pessimism to the assessment that it is too early to say justices would lose their seats before a Senate seen as more hostile to the court.The PL will have 28 senators next year: 19 elected on Sunday (4), joining the nine already serving in the upper house. Lawmakers from other parties also support impeachment. A survey by O Globo indicates there will be at least 49 of the 54 votes needed next year.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"mc-column content-text active-extra-styles \" data-block-type=\"unstyled\" data-block-weight=\"42\" data-block-id=\"5\">\n<p class=\" content-text__container \" data-track-category=\"Link no Texto\" data-track-links=\"\">One justice considers it certain that impeachment requests will advance in 2027 if presidential candidate <strong>Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro<\/strong> (Liberal Party, PL) is elected. \u201cOf course it will pass. With Fl\u00e1vio in the presidency, there will be at least 60 votes,\u201d the justice said.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"mc-column content-text active-extra-styles \" data-block-type=\"unstyled\" data-block-weight=\"60\" data-block-id=\"6\">\n<p class=\" content-text__container \" data-track-category=\"Link no Texto\" data-track-links=\"\">The most pessimistic justices point to at least three members of the court who could come under Senate scrutiny as early as next year: <strong>Alexandre de Moraes<\/strong>,<strong> Dias Toffoli<\/strong>, and<strong> Fl\u00e1vio Dino<\/strong>. Justices and people close to them have even drawn up estimates. One, taking the deadlines for the defense into account, is that an impeachment could occur by mid-June.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"mc-column content-text active-extra-styles \" data-block-type=\"unstyled\" data-block-weight=\"30\" data-block-id=\"7\">\n<p class=\" content-text__container \" data-track-category=\"Link no Texto\" data-track-links=\"\">Most justices, however, urge caution. They consider, for example, that if President <strong>Luiz In\u00e1cio Lula da Silva<\/strong> (Workers\u2019 Party, PT) is reelected, initiatives against the Supreme Court could be curbed.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"mc-column content-text active-extra-styles \" data-block-type=\"unstyled\" data-block-weight=\"61\" data-block-id=\"8\">\n<p class=\" content-text__container \" data-track-category=\"Link no Texto\" data-track-links=\"\">There is also an expectation that some PL lawmakers would be less radical and could oppose impeachment requests. Finally, one justice said he does not see it as so obvious that the proposals would advance in the Senate. He said some members of the centrist bloc have an interest in keeping on the court justices to whom they have greater access.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"mc-column content-text active-extra-styles\" data-block-type=\"raw\" data-block-weight=\"3\" data-block-id=\"9\">\n<p class=\"content-text__container\">\n<div class=\"content-intertitle\">\n<h2>Senate shifts right<\/h2>\n<\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"mc-column content-text active-extra-styles \" data-block-type=\"unstyled\" data-block-weight=\"25\" data-block-id=\"10\">\n<p class=\" content-text__container \" data-track-category=\"Link no Texto\" data-track-links=\"\"><span class=\"highlight\">The Bolsonarist wave that set the tone of the election campaign boosted opposition candidates\u2019 victories, producing a predominantly right-wing Senate and a shrinking centrist bloc.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"mc-column content-text active-extra-styles \" data-block-type=\"unstyled\" data-block-weight=\"37\" data-block-id=\"11\">\n<p class=\" content-text__container \" data-track-category=\"Link no Texto\" data-track-links=\"\">The result affects relations among the branches of government, particularly the Supreme Court, which is facing a crisis stemming from the Master case. The scandal has shaken the court\u2019s credibility and was an issue in Senate campaigns.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"mc-column content-text active-extra-styles \" data-block-type=\"unstyled\" data-block-weight=\"65\" data-block-id=\"12\">\n<p class=\" content-text__container \" data-track-category=\"Link no Texto\" data-track-links=\"\">With 28 senators, the PL will have the largest caucus starting next year, about three times the size of the PT\u2019s, with nine, and the Brazilian Democratic Movement\u2019s (MDB), with eight. The shrinking of the Centr\u00e3o bloc was evident in the Progressive Party (PP) and Republicans, each reduced to six members, and in the Social Democracy Party (PSD) and Brazil Union, with five lawmakers each.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p data-track-category=\"Link no Texto\" data-track-links=\"\">*By\u00a0Tiago Angelo\u00a0and\u00a0Isadora Peron\u00a0\u2014 Bras\u00edlia<\/p>\n<p data-track-category=\"Link no Texto\" data-track-links=\"\">Source: Valor International<\/p>\n<p>https:\/\/valorinternational.globo.com\/<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>New Senate lineup puts members of the court on alert as Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro and his allies vow to remove justices &nbsp; &nbsp; 10\/06\/2026\u00a0 From left to right: justices Alexandre de Moraes, Gilmar Mendes, Fl\u00e1vio Dino, Andr\u00e9 Mendon\u00e7a, and Dias Toffoli \u2014 Photo: Antonio Augusto\/STF Supreme Court justices consulted by Valor are divided over whether the [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[8106],"tags":[27191],"class_list":["post-100211","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-murray-news","tag-ustices-waver-between-pessimism-and-caution-on-impeachment-risk"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.0 - 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